Market comparison

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

10 outcomes · $3.6M reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
1B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.5% Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0% $1B Open Polymarket ↗	—
2B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.3% Bid 23.1% · Ask 25.6% $2B Open Polymarket ↗	—
3B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.2% · Ask 11.8% $3B Open Polymarket ↗	—
4B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 6.1% · Ask 6.2% $4B Open Polymarket ↗	—
5B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.4% · Ask 3.7% $5B Open Polymarket ↗	—
100M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 97.8% · Ask 98.2% $100M Open Polymarket ↗	—
200M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.2% Bid 93.9% · Ask 98.4% $200M Open Polymarket ↗	—
300M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.8% Bid 92.7% · Ask 92.9% $300M Open Polymarket ↗	—
500M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	86.5% Bid 86.0% · Ask 87.0% $500M Open Polymarket ↗	—
800M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.5% Bid 70.0% · Ask 71.0% $800M Open Polymarket ↗	—

1B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0%

$1B

Open Polymarket ↗

2B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.3%

Bid 23.1% · Ask 25.6%

$2B

Open Polymarket ↗

3B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.2% · Ask 11.8%

$3B

Open Polymarket ↗

4B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 6.2%

$4B

Open Polymarket ↗

5B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 3.7%

$5B

Open Polymarket ↗

100M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.0%

Bid 97.8% · Ask 98.2%

$100M

Open Polymarket ↗

200M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.2%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 98.4%

$200M

Open Polymarket ↗

300M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

92.8%

Bid 92.7% · Ask 92.9%

$300M

Open Polymarket ↗

500M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

86.5%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 87.0%

$500M

Open Polymarket ↗

800M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 71.0%

$800M

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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