Market comparison

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

2 venues · 55 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

54 outcomes · $135K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 4, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Greens Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Greens Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Greens Open Polymarket ↗	16.4 pp
Labor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0% Labor Open Kalshi ↗	68.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0% Labor Open Polymarket ↗	61.5 pp
One Nation Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	59.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 68.0% One Nation Open Kalshi ↗	14.4% Bid 4.5% · Ask 24.3% One Nation Open Polymarket ↗	44.6 pp
A Place for All of Us Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% A Place for All of Us Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BH Zeleni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% BH Zeleni Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BHI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% BHI Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Blue and White Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Blue and White Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Crvene linije Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Crvene linije Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
DF/GS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% DF/GS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
DNS-NPS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% DNS-NPS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Haredi Public Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Haredi Public Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
HDZ coalition Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% HDZ coalition Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hrvatska petorka Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Hrvatska petorka Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Israel First Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Israel First Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Laburisti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Laburisti Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Liberal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Liberal Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Liberal–National Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.2% Bid 15.5% · Ask 20.9% Liberal–National Open Polymarket ↗	—
Likud Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 70.0% Likud Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Narodni front Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Narodni front Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nationals Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0% Nationals Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
NES/PDA/Naprijed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% NES/PDA/Naprijed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
New Economic Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% New Economic Party Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
NiP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% NiP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Noam for Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Noam for Israel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
NS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% NS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Otzma Yehudit Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Otzma Yehudit Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
People of Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% People of Israel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
PSS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% PSS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ra'am Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ra'am Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Religious Zionist Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Religious Zionist Party Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Religious Zionist Party–Zehut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Religious Zionist Party–Zehut Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republikanci Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Republikanci Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Reservists–New Economic Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Reservists–New Economic Party Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SBB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% SBB Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SBiH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% SBiH Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SDA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% SDA Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SDP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% SDP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SDS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% SDS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Shas Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SNSD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0% SNSD Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SP-DEMOS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% SP-DEMOS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SPS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% SPS Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Democrats Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% The Democrats Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Together Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Together Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ujedinjena Srpska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Ujedinjena Srpska Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
United Torah Judaism Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% United Torah Judaism Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Unity Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Unity Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Victorian Socialists Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Victorian Socialists Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Volja Naroda Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Volja Naroda Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yashar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Yashar Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yisrael Beiteinu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Yisrael Beiteinu Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zehut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Zehut Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zionist Home–The Reservists Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Zionist Home–The Reservists Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
ZPR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% ZPR Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Greens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Greens

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Kalshi

Polymarket

Greens

Kalshi

Polymarket

Labor

Kalshi

Polymarket

One Nation

Kalshi

Polymarket

A Place for All of Us

Kalshi

Polymarket

BH Zeleni

Kalshi

Polymarket

BHI

Kalshi

Polymarket

Blue and White

Kalshi

Polymarket

Crvene linije

Kalshi

Polymarket

DF/GS

Kalshi

Polymarket

DNS-NPS

Kalshi

Polymarket

Haredi Public

Kalshi

Polymarket

HDZ coalition

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hrvatska petorka

Kalshi

Polymarket

Israel First

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)

Kalshi

Polymarket

Laburisti

Kalshi

Polymarket

Liberal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Liberal–National

Kalshi

Polymarket

Likud

Kalshi

Polymarket

Narodni front

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nationals

Kalshi

Polymarket

NES/PDA/Naprijed

Kalshi

Polymarket

New Economic Party

Kalshi

Polymarket

NiP

Kalshi

Polymarket

Noam for Israel

Kalshi

Polymarket

NS

Kalshi