Market comparison
Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
2 venues · 11 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗19 outcomes · $27K reported volume
Observed 26s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗6 outcomes · $19K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Greens Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 5.5 pp | ||
Labor Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.7 pp | ||
One Nation Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Animal Justice Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Legalise Cannabis Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Liberal Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Liberal–National Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Libertarian Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nationals Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Victorian Socialists Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Greens
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 5.5 pp
Labor
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.7 pp
One Nation
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Animal Justice
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Legalise Cannabis
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Liberal
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Liberal–National
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Libertarian
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nationals
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Victorian Socialists
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.