Market comparison

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
2.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.6% <2.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.5M-2.75M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% 2.5M-2.75M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.75M-3M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.9% 2.75M-3M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.5M-3.75M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.4% Bid 33.0% · Ask 51.8% 3.5M-3.75M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.25M-3.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% 3.25M-3.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.75M-4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 7.6% · Ask 16.4% 3.75M-4M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3M-3.25M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 6.3% · Ask 9.0% 3M-3.25M Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 3.2% · Ask 8.5% 4M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 2.80M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Above 2.80M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.00M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0% Above 3.00M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.20M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0% Above 3.20M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0% Above 3.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.60M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Above 3.60M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 3.80M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 22.0% Above 3.80M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.00M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Above 4.00M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.20M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Above 4.20M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.40M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Above 4.40M Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.60M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 4.60M Open Kalshi ↗	—

2.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.6%

<2.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.5M-2.75M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

2.5M-2.75M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.75M-3M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 7.9%

2.75M-3M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.5M-3.75M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.4%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 51.8%

3.5M-3.75M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.25M-3.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

3.25M-3.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.75M-4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 16.4%

3.75M-4M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3M-3.25M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 9.0%

3M-3.25M

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 8.5%

4M+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 2.80M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Above 2.80M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.00M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0%

Above 3.00M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.20M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0%

Above 3.20M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0%

Above 3.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.60M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Above 3.60M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 3.80M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 22.0%

Above 3.80M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.00M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Above 4.00M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.20M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Above 4.20M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.40M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above 4.40M

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 4.60M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 4.60M

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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