Market comparison

What companies will Trump say in October?

2 venues · 65 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

50 outcomes · $126K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 26s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Who counts differs: Kalshi earnings-call markets count the company's representatives and the call operator; Polymarket counts anyone who speaks during the event, including analysts.
Word forms: Kalshi pays on the exact phrase and its plural or possessive form only; Polymarket's Mentions contract terms define their own form rules. Check edge words before treating a pair as hedged.
Scheduling: 'next' occasions are matched when both venues' scheduled dates are within 10 days (earnings calls) or 2 days (rallies, press conferences, PMQs). A rescheduled event can resolve differently on each venue.
Only outcomes with the same phrase set and the same minimum count are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What companies will Trump say in October?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Boeing Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Boeing · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Boeing · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Caterpillar Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 35.0% Caterpillar Open Kalshi ↗	37.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 73.0% Caterpillar Open Polymarket ↗	16.5 pp
Dell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Dell Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Dell · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Uber Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Uber Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Uber · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Airbnb / ABNB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Airbnb / ABNB Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Airbus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 73.0% Airbus Open Polymarket ↗	—
Amazon / AMZN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Amazon / AMZN Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
AMD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 100.0% AMD Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Anthropic / Claude Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0% Anthropic / Claude Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Apple / AAPL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Apple / AAPL · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BBC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 54.0% BBC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BlackRock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0% BlackRock Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
BMW Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 95.3% · Ask 100.0% BMW · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
ChatGPT / OpenAI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0% ChatGPT / OpenAI Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Chevron / CVX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 42.0% Chevron / CVX Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
CNN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% CNN Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Deere Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Deere Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Discord Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 65.0% Discord Open Polymarket ↗	—
DoorDash / DASH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% DoorDash / DASH Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
eBay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% eBay · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Eli Lilly / LLY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Eli Lilly / LLY · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
ExxonMobil / XOM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0% ExxonMobil / XOM Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
FedEx Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% FedEx · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ferrari Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 73.0% Ferrari Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fox News Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fox News · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
General Motors / GM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% General Motors / GM · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Google / Alphabet Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 100.0% Google / Alphabet · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Google / GOOG / GOOGL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Google / GOOG / GOOGL Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Honda / HMC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 56.0% Honda / HMC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hyperliquid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 44.9% Hyperliquid Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hyundai / HYMTF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Hyundai / HYMTF · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
IBM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% IBM Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Intel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 100.0% Intel · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Intel / INTC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Intel / INTC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
JPMorgan / JPM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% JPMorgan / JPM Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mastercard / MA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0% Mastercard / MA Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Meta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Meta Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Micron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Micron · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Micron / MU Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Micron / MU Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Microsoft / MSFT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Microsoft / MSFT Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
MS NOW / MSNBC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% MS NOW / MSNBC · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Netflix / NFLX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0% Netflix / NFLX Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
New York Times / NYT Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% New York Times / NYT · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
NVIDIA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 97.5% · Ask 100.0% NVIDIA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nvidia / NVDA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Nvidia / NVDA Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Oracle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 73.0% Oracle Open Polymarket ↗	—
Oracle / ORCL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0% Oracle / ORCL Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paramount / PSKY Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Paramount / PSKY Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pfizer / PFE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pfizer / PFE · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Qualcomm Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 74.0% Qualcomm Open Polymarket ↗	—
Qualcomm / QCOM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Qualcomm / QCOM Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rigetti / RGTI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Rigetti / RGTI Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SpaceX / SPCX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% SpaceX / SPCX Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stellantis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Stellantis · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tesla / TSLA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Tesla / TSLA Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
TikTok Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% TikTok · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
TikTok / ByteDance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.2% · Ask 100.0% TikTok / ByteDance · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Toyota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Toyota · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
TSMC / TSM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% TSMC / TSM · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Turning Point Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% Turning Point Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% UFC · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Verizon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Verizon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Visa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.8% Bid 3.5% · Ask 72.0% Visa Open Polymarket ↗	—
X / Twitter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0% X / Twitter Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Boeing

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Boeing · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Boeing · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Caterpillar

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 35.0%

Caterpillar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 73.0%

Caterpillar

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.5 pp

Dell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Dell · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Uber

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Uber

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Uber · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Airbnb / ABNB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Airbnb / ABNB

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Airbus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 73.0%

Airbus

Open Polymarket ↗

Amazon / AMZN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Amazon / AMZN

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

AMD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 100.0%

AMD

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Anthropic / Claude

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0%

Anthropic / Claude

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Apple / AAPL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Apple / AAPL · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

BBC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 54.0%

BBC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

BlackRock

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0%

BlackRock

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

BMW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 95.3% · Ask 100.0%

BMW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

ChatGPT / OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 72.0%

ChatGPT / OpenAI

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Chevron / CVX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 42.0%

Chevron / CVX

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

CNN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

CNN

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Deere

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Deere

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Discord

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 65.0%

Discord

Open Polymarket ↗

DoorDash / DASH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

DoorDash / DASH

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

eBay

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

eBay · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Eli Lilly / LLY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Eli Lilly / LLY · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

ExxonMobil / XOM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

ExxonMobil / XOM

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FedEx

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

FedEx · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ferrari

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 73.0%

Ferrari

Open Polymarket ↗

Fox News

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fox News · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

General Motors / GM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

General Motors / GM · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Google / Alphabet

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 100.0%

Google / Alphabet · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Google / GOOG / GOOGL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Google / GOOG / GOOGL

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Honda / HMC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 56.0%

Honda / HMC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hyperliquid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 44.9%

Hyperliquid

Open Polymarket ↗

Hyundai / HYMTF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Hyundai / HYMTF · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

IBM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

IBM

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Intel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 100.0%

Intel · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Intel / INTC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Intel / INTC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

JPMorgan / JPM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

JPMorgan / JPM

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mastercard / MA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0%

Mastercard / MA

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Micron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Micron · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Micron / MU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Micron / MU

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Microsoft / MSFT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Microsoft / MSFT

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

MS NOW / MSNBC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

MS NOW / MSNBC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Netflix / NFLX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0%

Netflix / NFLX

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

New York Times / NYT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

New York Times / NYT · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

NVIDIA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.5% · Ask 100.0%

NVIDIA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Nvidia / NVDA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nvidia / NVDA

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Oracle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 73.0%

Oracle

Open Polymarket ↗

Oracle / ORCL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0%

Oracle / ORCL

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Paramount / PSKY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Paramount / PSKY

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pfizer / PFE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pfizer / PFE · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Qualcomm

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 74.0%

Qualcomm

Open Polymarket ↗

Qualcomm / QCOM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Qualcomm / QCOM

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rigetti / RGTI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Rigetti / RGTI

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

SpaceX / SPCX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

SpaceX / SPCX

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stellantis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Stellantis · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Tesla / TSLA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Tesla / TSLA

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

TikTok

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

TikTok · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

TikTok / ByteDance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.2% · Ask 100.0%

TikTok / ByteDance · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Toyota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Toyota · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

TSMC / TSM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

TSMC / TSM · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Turning Point

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

Turning Point

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

UFC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

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Verizon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Verizon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

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Visa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.8%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 72.0%

Visa

Open Polymarket ↗

X / Twitter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0%

X / Twitter

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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