Market comparison

What countries will Trump say in October?

2 venues · 101 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

60 outcomes · $263K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $74K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What countries will Trump say in October?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Afghanistan / Afghan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Afghanistan / Afghan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ahmed al-Sharaa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 48.0% Ahmed al-Sharaa Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Allah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 73.0% Allah Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
American Dream Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% American Dream · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Andy Burnham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 62.0% Andy Burnham Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Apple Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Apple · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Argentina / Argentinian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 100.0% Argentina / Argentinian Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ass Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Ass · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Australia / Australian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 84.0% Australia / Australian Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bahrain / Bahraini Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Bahrain / Bahraini Open Kalshi ↗	—
Belgium / Belgian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 24.0% Belgium / Belgian Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0% Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Brazil / Brazilian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Brazil / Brazilian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brother / Sister Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Brother / Sister · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Caddie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 93.2% · Ask 100.0% Caddie · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Canada / Canadian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Canada / Canadian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Caravan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Caravan · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ceasefire / Uranium Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0% Ceasefire / Uranium Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Central Casting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.9% Central Casting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Colombia / Colombian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Colombia / Colombian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Congo / Congolese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Congo / Congolese · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cuba / Cuban Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 74.0% Cuba / Cuban Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dancing in the Street Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 73.0% Dancing in the Street Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Denmark / Danish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Denmark / Danish · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Egypt / Egyptian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Egypt / Egyptian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Elon Musk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Emmanuel Macron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Emmanuel Macron · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Flying Car / Roadster Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 30.0% Flying Car / Roadster Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Four More Years Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 60.0% Four More Years Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
France / French Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% France / French · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Friedrich Merz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 97.9% · Ask 99.8% Friedrich Merz · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Front Row Joe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Front Row Joe · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.9% Gay · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Genius / Elon / Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Genius / Elon / Musk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Germany / German Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Germany / German · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Greenland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 81.1% · Ask 100.0% Greenland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hungary / Hungarian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 16.0% Hungary / Hungarian Open Kalshi ↗	—
Iceland / Icelandic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Iceland / Icelandic Open Kalshi ↗	—
Illness Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 97.0% Illness Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
India / Indian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% India / Indian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ireland / Irish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ireland / Irish · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Italy / Italian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Italy / Italian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jamaica / Jamaican Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Jamaica / Jamaican Open Kalshi ↗	—
Japan / Japanese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Japan / Japanese · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jumbotron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Jumbotron · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kim Jong Un Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.3% Kim Jong Un Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kuwait / Kuwaiti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Kuwait / Kuwaiti Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 44.0% Lula da Silva Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Maria Corina Machado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.1% Maria Corina Machado Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mark Carney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Mark Carney · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mark Rutte Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0% Mark Rutte Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Masoud Pezeshkian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.0% Masoud Pezeshkian Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mexico / Mexican Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mexico / Mexican · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Miguel Díaz-Canel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.1% Miguel Díaz-Canel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mohammed bin Salman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Mohammed bin Salman · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mojtaba Khamenei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Mojtaba Khamenei Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moon / UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Moon / UFO / UAP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Neurotic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 86.0% Neurotic Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Newborn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Newborn · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Nicolás Maduro Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
North Korea / North Korean Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% North Korea / North Korean · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Norway / Norwegian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Norway / Norwegian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palestine / Palestinian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Palestine / Palestinian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Panama / Panamanian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0% Panama / Panamanian Open Kalshi ↗	—
Paraguay / Paraguayan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Paraguay / Paraguayan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pirate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Pirate · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Poland / Polish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Poland / Polish · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pope Leo XIV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.8% Bid 7.9% · Ask 15.8% Pope Leo XIV Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Qatar / Qatari Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Qatar / Qatari · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Refund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Refund · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Reza Pahlavi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.6% Reza Pahlavi Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shit Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 92.1% · Ask 100.0% Shit · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shut Up Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Shut Up · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Six Seven Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 64.0% Six Seven Open Polymarket ↗ 27.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 48.0% Six Seven Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Slob Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 100.0% Slob · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Somalia / Somali Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Somalia / Somali · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
South Africa / South African Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0% South Africa / South African Open Kalshi ↗	—
South Korea / South Korean Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% South Korea / South Korean · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spain / Spanish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Spain / Spanish · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Strategic / Strategy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 52.0% Strategic / Strategy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Stupid Person Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0% Stupid Person · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sudan / Sudanese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 24.0% Sudan / Sudanese Open Kalshi ↗	—
Switzerland / Swiss Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Switzerland / Swiss · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taiwan / Taiwanese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Taiwan / Taiwanese · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Teleprompter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Teleprompter · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Through the Roof Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Through the Roof · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Trump Ocean / Trump Strait Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Trump Ocean / Trump Strait · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Turkey / Turkish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Turkey / Turkish · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
UAE / United Arab Emirates Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 78.0% UAE / United Arab Emirates Open Kalshi ↗	—
United Kingdom / British Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% United Kingdom / British · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ursula von der Leyen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 96.1% · Ask 99.3% Ursula von der Leyen · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vanilla / Ice Cream Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 49.0% Vanilla / Ice Cream Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vladimir Putin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0% Vladimir Putin · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Weave Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 88.0% Weave Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Who Are You With / Where Are You From Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Who Are You With / Where Are You From · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Xi Jinping Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.8% Xi Jinping Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yemen / Yemeni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Yemen / Yemeni · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoon Suk Yeol Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.7% Yoon Suk Yeol Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Afghanistan / Afghan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Afghanistan / Afghan · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 48.0%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Allah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 73.0%

Allah

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

American Dream

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

American Dream · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Andy Burnham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 62.0%

Andy Burnham

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Apple

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Apple · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Argentina / Argentinian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 100.0%

Argentina / Argentinian

Open Kalshi ↗

Ass

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Ass · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Australia / Australian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 84.0%

Australia / Australian

Open Kalshi ↗

Bahrain / Bahraini

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Bahrain / Bahraini

Open Kalshi ↗

Belgium / Belgian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 24.0%

Belgium / Belgian

Open Kalshi ↗

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Brazil / Brazilian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Brazil / Brazilian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Brother / Sister

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Brother / Sister · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Caddie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 93.2% · Ask 100.0%

Caddie · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Canada / Canadian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Canada / Canadian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Caravan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Caravan · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ceasefire / Uranium

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ceasefire / Uranium

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Central Casting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.9%

Central Casting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Colombia / Colombian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Colombia / Colombian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Congo / Congolese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Congo / Congolese · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Cuba / Cuban

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 74.0%

Cuba / Cuban

Open Kalshi ↗

Dancing in the Street

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 73.0%

Dancing in the Street

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Denmark / Danish

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Denmark / Danish · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Egypt / Egyptian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Egypt / Egyptian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Elon Musk · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Emmanuel Macron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Emmanuel Macron · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Flying Car / Roadster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 30.0%

Flying Car / Roadster

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Four More Years

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 60.0%

Four More Years

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

France / French

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

France / French · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Friedrich Merz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.9% · Ask 99.8%

Friedrich Merz · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Front Row Joe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Front Row Joe · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gay

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.9%

Gay · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Genius / Elon / Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Genius / Elon / Musk · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Germany / German

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Germany / German · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 81.1% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hungary / Hungarian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 16.0%

Hungary / Hungarian

Open Kalshi ↗

Iceland / Icelandic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Iceland / Icelandic

Open Kalshi ↗

Illness

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 97.0%

Illness

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

India / Indian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

India / Indian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ireland / Irish

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ireland / Irish · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Italy / Italian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Italy / Italian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jamaica / Jamaican

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Jamaica / Jamaican

Open Kalshi ↗

Japan / Japanese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Japan / Japanese · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jumbotron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Jumbotron · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kim Jong Un

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.3%

Kim Jong Un

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kuwait / Kuwaiti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Kuwait / Kuwaiti

Open Kalshi ↗

Lula da Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 44.0%

Lula da Silva

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maria Corina Machado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.1%

Maria Corina Machado

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mark Carney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Mark Carney · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mark Rutte

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

Mark Rutte

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Masoud Pezeshkian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.0%

Masoud Pezeshkian

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mexico / Mexican

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Mexico / Mexican · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.1%

Miguel Díaz-Canel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mohammed bin Salman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Mohammed bin Salman · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mojtaba Khamenei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moon / UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Moon / UFO / UAP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Neurotic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 86.0%

Neurotic

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Newborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Newborn · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nicolás Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Nicolás Maduro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Korea / North Korean

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

North Korea / North Korean · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Norway / Norwegian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Norway / Norwegian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Palestine / Palestinian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Palestine / Palestinian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Panama / Panamanian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 58.0%

Panama / Panamanian

Open Kalshi ↗

Paraguay / Paraguayan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Paraguay / Paraguayan

Open Kalshi ↗

Pirate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Pirate · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Poland / Polish

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Poland / Polish · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Pope Leo XIV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.8%

Bid 7.9% · Ask 15.8%

Pope Leo XIV

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Qatar / Qatari

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Qatar / Qatari · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Refund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Refund · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Reza Pahlavi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.6%

Reza Pahlavi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Shit

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 92.1% · Ask 100.0%

Shit · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shut Up

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Shut Up · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Six Seven

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 64.0%

Six Seven

Open Polymarket ↗

27.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 48.0%

Six Seven

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Slob

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 100.0%

Slob · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Somalia / Somali

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Somalia / Somali · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

South Africa / South African

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0%

South Africa / South African

Open Kalshi ↗

South Korea / South Korean

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

South Korea / South Korean · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Spain / Spanish

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Spain / Spanish · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Strategic / Strategy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 52.0%

Strategic / Strategy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stupid Person

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0%

Stupid Person · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sudan / Sudanese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 24.0%

Sudan / Sudanese

Open Kalshi ↗

Switzerland / Swiss

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Switzerland / Swiss · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Taiwan / Taiwanese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Taiwan / Taiwanese · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Teleprompter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Teleprompter · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Through the Roof

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Through the Roof · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Trump Ocean / Trump Strait

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Trump Ocean / Trump Strait · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turkey / Turkish

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Turkey / Turkish · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

UAE / United Arab Emirates

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 78.0%

UAE / United Arab Emirates

Open Kalshi ↗

United Kingdom / British

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

United Kingdom / British · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ursula von der Leyen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 99.3%

Ursula von der Leyen · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vanilla / Ice Cream

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 49.0%

Vanilla / Ice Cream

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vladimir Putin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0%

Vladimir Putin · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Weave

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 88.0%

Weave

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Who Are You With / Where Are You From

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Who Are You With / Where Are You From · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Xi Jinping

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.8%

Xi Jinping

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yemen / Yemeni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Yemen / Yemeni · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yoon Suk Yeol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.7%

Yoon Suk Yeol

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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