Market comparison

What flavors will JUUL relaunch?

2 venues · 14 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $73K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Crème Brûlée Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Crème Brûlée Open Kalshi ↗	15.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 28.0% Crème Brûlée Open Polymarket ↗	14.5 pp
Cucumber Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Cucumber Open Kalshi ↗	50.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 96.0% Cucumber Open Polymarket ↗	49.0 pp
Fruit Medley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Fruit Medley Open Kalshi ↗	11.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 19.0% Fruit Medley Open Polymarket ↗	10.0 pp
Mango Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Mango Open Kalshi ↗	44.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 84.0% Mango Open Polymarket ↗	39.0 pp
Mint Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Mint Open Kalshi ↗	51.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 96.0% Mint Open Polymarket ↗	38.5 pp
Apple Orchard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Apple Orchard · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Banana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Banana · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bubblegum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Bubblegum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Café Latte Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Café Latte · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Classic Tobacco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Classic Tobacco · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cool Mint Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Cool Mint Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Menthol Classic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Menthol Classic · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pineapple Lemonade Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pineapple Lemonade · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Watermelon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Watermelon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Crème Brûlée

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Crème Brûlée

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 28.0%

Crème Brûlée

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 14.5 pp

Cucumber

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Cucumber

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 96.0%

Cucumber

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 49.0 pp

Fruit Medley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Fruit Medley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 19.0%

Fruit Medley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.0 pp

Mango

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Mango

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

44.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 84.0%

Mango

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 39.0 pp

Mint

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Mint

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 96.0%

Mint

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 38.5 pp

Apple Orchard

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Apple Orchard · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Banana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Banana · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bubblegum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Bubblegum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Café Latte

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Café Latte · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Classic Tobacco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Classic Tobacco · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cool Mint

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Cool Mint

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Menthol Classic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Menthol Classic · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pineapple Lemonade

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pineapple Lemonade · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Watermelon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Watermelon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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