Market comparison

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

29 outcomes · $2.2M reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $418K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What price will Solana hit in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
↑ 160 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% ↑ 160 Open Polymarket ↗	19.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Above $160.00 Open Kalshi ↗	5.5 pp
↑ 180 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	7.5% Bid 6.3% · Ask 8.8% ↑ 180 Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Above $180.00 Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
↑ 200 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% ↑ 200 Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Above $200.00 Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
↑ 300 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	2.7% Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.1% ↑ 300 Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Above $300.00 Open Kalshi ↗	2.3 pp
↓ 40 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	3.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.2% ↓ 40 Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Below $40.00 Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
↓ 50 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% ↓ 50 Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $50.00 Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
↓ 60 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	8.6% Bid 7.5% · Ask 9.7% ↓ 60 Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Below $60.00 Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
↓ 70 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% ↓ 70 Open Polymarket ↗	24.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0% Below $70.00 Open Kalshi ↗	9.0 pp
20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.1% ↓ 20 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.8% ↓ 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
70 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 70 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
80 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 31.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0% ↓ 80 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
90 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 90 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 54.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 58.0% ↓ 90 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
100 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 100 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 100 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
120 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 120 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 120 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
140 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 140 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% ↑ 140 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
220 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 3.7% · Ask 7.4% ↑ 220 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
240 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 2.9% ↑ 240 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
260 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 2.4% · Ask 4.8% ↑ 260 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
280 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.7% ↑ 280 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
320 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8% ↑ 320 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
400 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9% ↑ 400 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
600 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% ↑ 600 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above $150.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Above $150.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $170.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Above $170.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $190.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Above $190.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $250.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Above $250.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $35.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Below $35.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $45.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Below $45.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $55.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Below $55.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $65.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0% Below $65.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—

↑ 160

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

↑ 160

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Above $160.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

↑ 180

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 8.8%

↑ 180

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0%

Above $180.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

↑ 200

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

↑ 200

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above $200.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

↑ 300

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.1%

↑ 300

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Above $300.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

↓ 40

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.2%

↓ 40

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Below $40.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

↓ 50

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

↓ 50

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $50.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

↓ 60

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 9.7%

↓ 60

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

Below $60.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

↓ 70

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

↓ 70

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0%

Below $70.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 9.0 pp

20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.1%

↓ 20

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.8%

↓ 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

70

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 70 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

80

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

31.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0%

↓ 80

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

90

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 90 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

54.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 58.0%

↓ 90

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 100 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 100 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

120

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 120 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 120 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

140

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 140 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

26.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

↑ 140

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

220

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 7.4%

↑ 220

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

240

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 2.9%

↑ 240

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

260

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 4.8%

↑ 260

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

280

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.7%

↑ 280

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

320

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8%

↑ 320

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 0.9%

↑ 400

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

600

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

↑ 600

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above $150.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Above $150.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $170.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Above $170.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $190.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Above $190.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $250.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above $250.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $35.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $35.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $45.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $45.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $55.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Below $55.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $65.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0%

Below $65.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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