Market comparison

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 27)

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 7 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

22 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 27)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Animals Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	36.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 36.0% Animals Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0% Animals Open Kalshi ↗ 67.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 75.0% Animals Open Kalshi ↗	14.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0% Animals Open Polymarket ↗	—
Doing Life Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Doing Life Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Doing Life Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Doing Life Open Kalshi ↗	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Doing Life Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ice Age Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ice Age Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ice Age Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ice Age Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Ice Age Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ice Age: Collision Course Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ice Age: Collision Course Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ice Age: Collision Course Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ice Age: Collision Course Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Ice Age: Collision Course Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Sacrifice Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Sacrifice Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Sacrifice Open Kalshi ↗	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Sacrifice Open Polymarket ↗	—
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Polymarket ↗	—
Anyone But You Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Anyone But You Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Corpse Bride Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Corpse Bride Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Evil Dead Burn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Evil Dead Burn Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gladiator II Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Gladiator II Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex Open Kalshi ↗ 18.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 35.0% Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ice Age: Continental Drift Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ice Age: Continental Drift Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ice Age: The Meltdown Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ice Age: The Meltdown Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Placeholder A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Primate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Primate Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Breadwinner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Breadwinner Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Breadwinner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Twilight Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Twilight Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Twilight Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UNABOMBER Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% UNABOMBER Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% UNABOMBER Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% UNABOMBER Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Animals

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 36.0%

Animals

Open Kalshi ↗

96.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0%

Animals

Open Kalshi ↗

67.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 75.0%

Animals

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 26.0%

Animals

Open Polymarket ↗

Doing Life

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Doing Life

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0%

Doing Life

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Doing Life

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Doing Life

Open Polymarket ↗

Ice Age

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ice Age

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ice Age

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ice Age

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8%

Ice Age

Open Polymarket ↗

Ice Age: Collision Course

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ice Age: Collision Course

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ice Age: Collision Course

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ice Age: Collision Course

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8%

Ice Age: Collision Course

Open Polymarket ↗

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8%

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Sacrifice

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Sacrifice

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Sacrifice

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Sacrifice

Open Polymarket ↗

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Anyone But You

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Anyone But You

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Corpse Bride

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Corpse Bride

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Evil Dead Burn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Evil Dead Burn

Open Polymarket ↗

Gladiator II

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Gladiator II

Open Polymarket ↗

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Open Kalshi ↗

18.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 35.0%

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ice Age: Continental Drift

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ice Age: Continental Drift

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ice Age: The Meltdown

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ice Age: The Meltdown

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Placeholder A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Primate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Primate

Open Polymarket ↗

The Breadwinner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Breadwinner

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Breadwinner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Twilight

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Twilight

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Twilight

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UNABOMBER

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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