Market comparison

What will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?

1 venue · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

18 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
AGI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 63.0% AGI Open Kalshi ↗	—
Anthropic / Claude Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Anthropic / Claude Open Kalshi ↗	—
Astra Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0% Astra Open Kalshi ↗	—
China / Chinese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% China / Chinese Open Kalshi ↗	—
Compute Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0% Compute Open Kalshi ↗	—
Data Center Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 38.0% Data Center Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elon / Grok Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0% Elon / Grok Open Kalshi ↗	—
Event does not qualify Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Event does not qualify Open Kalshi ↗	—
Google / Gemini Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Google / Gemini Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hugging Face Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 51.0% Hugging Face Open Kalshi ↗	—
IP / Intellectual Property Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0% IP / Intellectual Property Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nuclear Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Nuclear Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nvidia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0% Nvidia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Open Source Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% Open Source Open Kalshi ↗	—
Privacy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0% Privacy Open Kalshi ↗	—
Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0% Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory Open Kalshi ↗	—
Safe / Safer / Safety Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 86.0% Safe / Safer / Safety Open Kalshi ↗	—
Valuation / IPO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0% Valuation / IPO Open Kalshi ↗	—

AGI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 63.0%

AGI

Open Kalshi ↗

Anthropic / Claude

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Anthropic / Claude

Open Kalshi ↗

Astra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0%

Astra

Open Kalshi ↗

China / Chinese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

China / Chinese

Open Kalshi ↗

Compute

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0%

Compute

Open Kalshi ↗

Data Center

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 38.0%

Data Center

Open Kalshi ↗

Elon / Grok

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 37.0%

Elon / Grok

Open Kalshi ↗

Event does not qualify

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Event does not qualify

Open Kalshi ↗

Google / Gemini

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Google / Gemini

Open Kalshi ↗

Hugging Face

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 51.0%

Hugging Face

Open Kalshi ↗

IP / Intellectual Property

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0%

IP / Intellectual Property

Open Kalshi ↗

Nuclear

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Nuclear

Open Kalshi ↗

Nvidia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0%

Nvidia

Open Kalshi ↗

Open Source

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Open Source

Open Kalshi ↗

Privacy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 47.0%

Privacy

Open Kalshi ↗

Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0%

Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory

Open Kalshi ↗

Safe / Safer / Safety

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 86.0%

Safe / Safer / Safety

Open Kalshi ↗

Valuation / IPO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0%

Valuation / IPO

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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