Market comparison

What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?

1 venue · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

16 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 11s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Agent 365 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.5% Bid 67.0% · Ask 74.0% Agent 365 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Anthropic / Claude Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 39.0% Anthropic / Claude Open Kalshi ↗	—
Autopilot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 51.0% Autopilot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Azure Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0% Azure Open Kalshi ↗	—
Copilot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.0% Copilot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cowork Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0% Cowork Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cybersecurity Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 56.0% Cybersecurity Open Kalshi ↗	—
Event does not qualify Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Event does not qualify Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foundry Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0% Foundry Open Kalshi ↗	—
Frontier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	76.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0% Frontier Open Kalshi ↗	—
GitHub Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 75.0% GitHub Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mistral Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Mistral Open Kalshi ↗	—
NVIDIA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 39.0% NVIDIA Open Kalshi ↗	—
OpenAI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 45.0% OpenAI Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scout Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% Scout Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sovereign Cloud Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 52.0% Sovereign Cloud Open Kalshi ↗	—

Agent 365

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.5%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 74.0%

Agent 365

Open Kalshi ↗

Anthropic / Claude

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 39.0%

Anthropic / Claude

Open Kalshi ↗

Autopilot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 51.0%

Autopilot

Open Kalshi ↗

Azure

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0%

Azure

Open Kalshi ↗

Copilot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.0%

Copilot

Open Kalshi ↗

Cowork

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0%

Cowork

Open Kalshi ↗

Cybersecurity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 56.0%

Cybersecurity

Open Kalshi ↗

Event does not qualify

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Event does not qualify

Open Kalshi ↗

Foundry

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 69.0%

Foundry

Open Kalshi ↗

Frontier

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

76.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0%

Frontier

Open Kalshi ↗

GitHub

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 75.0%

GitHub

Open Kalshi ↗

Mistral

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Mistral

Open Kalshi ↗

NVIDIA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 39.0%

NVIDIA

Open Kalshi ↗

OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 45.0%

OpenAI

Open Kalshi ↗

Scout

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

Scout

Open Kalshi ↗

Sovereign Cloud

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 52.0%

Sovereign Cloud

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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