Market comparison

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

1 venue · 27 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

27 outcomes · $186K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
700 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.0% ↓ $700 Open Polymarket ↗	—
710 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% ↓ $710 Open Polymarket ↗	—
720 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 4.3% · Ask 7.0% ↓ $720 Open Polymarket ↗	—
730 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% ↓ $730 Open Polymarket ↗	—
740 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 28.0% ↓ $740 Open Polymarket ↗	—
750 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 56.0% ↓ $750 Open Polymarket ↗	—
760 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ $760 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
760 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ $760 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ $770 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
770 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0% ↑ $770 Open Polymarket ↗	—
780 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ $780 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
780 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0% ↓ $780 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
780 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.7% Bid 22.0% · Ask 29.4% ↑ $780 Open Polymarket ↗	—
790 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% ↑ $790 Open Polymarket ↗	—
800 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.7% ↑ $800 Open Polymarket ↗	—
810 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.4% ↑ $810 Open Polymarket ↗	—
820 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.8% ↑ $820 Open Polymarket ↗	—
830 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.4% ↑ $830 Open Polymarket ↗	—
840 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.3% ↑ $840 Open Polymarket ↗	—

700

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.0%

↓ $700

Open Polymarket ↗

710

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

↓ $710

Open Polymarket ↗

720

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 7.0%

↓ $720

Open Polymarket ↗

730

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

↓ $730

Open Polymarket ↗

740

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 28.0%

↓ $740

Open Polymarket ↗

750

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 56.0%

↓ $750

Open Polymarket ↗

760

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ $760 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

760

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ $760 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ $770 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

770

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0%

↑ $770

Open Polymarket ↗

780

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ $780 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

780

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.8% · Ask 100.0%

↓ $780 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

780

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.7%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 29.4%

↑ $780

Open Polymarket ↗

790

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

↑ $790

Open Polymarket ↗

800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.7%

↑ $800

Open Polymarket ↗

810

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.4%

↑ $810

Open Polymarket ↗

820

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.8%

↑ $820

Open Polymarket ↗

830

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.4%

↑ $830

Open Polymarket ↗

840

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.3%

↑ $840

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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