Market comparison

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

1 venue · 12 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

12 outcomes · $83K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
At least 50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% At least 50 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 100 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% At least 100 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 200 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% At least 200 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% At least 500 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 1000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% At least 1000 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 2000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 96.0% · Ask 97.0% At least 2000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 2500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.0% At least 2500 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 3000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.0% At least 3000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 3500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 82.0% At least 3500 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 4000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0% At least 4000 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 4500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 59.0% At least 4500 Open Kalshi ↗	—
At least 5000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 50.0% At least 5000 Open Kalshi ↗	—

At least 50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 50 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 100 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 200 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 500 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 1000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 1000 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 2000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 97.0%

At least 2000

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 2500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.0%

At least 2500

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 3000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 92.0%

At least 3000

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 3500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 82.0%

At least 3500

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 4000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0%

At least 4000

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 4500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 59.0%

At least 4500

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 5000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 50.0%

At least 5000

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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