The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

2 venues · 57 outcome rows · 4 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

32 outcomes · $73K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 22, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Open Polymarket ↗

41.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Open Polymarket ↗

Drill Baby Drill

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Drill Baby Drill

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Drill Baby Drill

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Iran 5+ times

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 58.0%

Iran (5+ times)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 63.0%

Iran 5+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Russia / Ukraine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0%

Russia / Ukraine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 71.0%

Russia / Ukraine

Open Polymarket ↗

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 64.0%

Russia / Ukraine

Open Polymarket ↗

America First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 26.0%

America First

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ass

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

53.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0%

Ass

Open Polymarket ↗

52.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0%

Ass

Open Polymarket ↗

Barack Hussein Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

Barack Hussein Obama

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 50.0%

Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.4%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.9%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Open Polymarket ↗

Blockade

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 25.0%

Blockade

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ceasefire

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0%

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Crypto / Bitcoin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Crypto / Bitcoin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Data Center

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 35.0%

Data Center

Open Polymarket ↗

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Data Center

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

95.5%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0%

Democrat 5+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

91.5%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Democrat 5+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 65.0%

Dividend / Stimulus

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Event does not qualify

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 38.0%

Event does not qualify

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fentanyl

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 17.0%

Fentanyl

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fentanyl / Deport / Deported

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Fentanyl / Deport / Deported

Open Polymarket ↗

26.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 28.0%

Fentanyl / Deport / Deported

Open Polymarket ↗

Filibuster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Filibuster

Open Polymarket ↗

19.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 28.0%

Filibuster

Open Polymarket ↗

Fish / Fisher / Fishing

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 91.0%

Fish / Fisher / Fishing

Open Polymarket ↗

France / Paris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

81.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 85.0%

France / Paris

Open Polymarket ↗

Fraud (3+ times)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Fraud (3+ times)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Google

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

60.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0%

Google

Open Polymarket ↗

Gulf of America

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 42.0%

Gulf of America

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hell 15+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 51.0%

Hell 15+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

55.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 60.0%

Hell 15+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Hormuz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 31.0%

Hormuz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hormuz / Blockade

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

56.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0%

Hormuz / Blockade

Open Polymarket ↗

46.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0%

Hormuz / Blockade

Open Polymarket ↗

Hottest

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 66.0%

Hottest

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hyundai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 39.0%

Hyundai

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Israel / Israeli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0%

Israel / Israeli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jacksonville

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 44.0%

Jacksonville

Open Polymarket ↗

Kamala

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 45.0%

Kamala

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Made in America / American Made

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Made in America / American Made

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mar-a-Lago / Golf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

57.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 71.0%

Mar-a-Lago / Golf

Open Polymarket ↗

Marjorie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Marjorie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Meat / Steak

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 59.0%

Meat / Steak

Open Polymarket ↗

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 98.0%

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

No Qualifying Event-

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8%

-No Qualifying Event-

Open Polymarket ↗

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

-No Qualifying Event-

Open Polymarket ↗

Nuclear (3+ times)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 51.0%

Nuclear (3+ times)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rigged Election

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Rigged Election

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Right to Repair / Right to Fix

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0%

Right to Repair / Right to Fix

Open Polymarket ↗

Save America Act

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 74.0%

Save America Act

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

SI / Super Intelligence

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0%

SI / Super Intelligence

Open Polymarket ↗

68.5%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 70.0%

SI / Super Intelligence

Open Polymarket ↗

Sleepy Joe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 39.0%

Sleepy Joe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Space / Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

72.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 75.0%

Space / Moon

Open Polymarket ↗

Stock Market

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 61.0%

Stock Market

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Supreme Court

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0%

Supreme Court

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tariff 6+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.0%

Tariff 6+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Tax 33+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0%

Tax 33+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Transgender

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Transgender

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Transgender 5+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

76.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 78.0%

Transgender 5+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Transgender 7+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 52.0%

Transgender 7+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Veteran

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 76.0%

Veteran

Open Polymarket ↗

57.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 65.0%

Veteran

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.