Market comparison

What will Trump say in October?

2 venues · 47 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $93K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

22 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will Trump say in October?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Who are you with / Where are you from Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Who are you with / Where are you from · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Who Are You With / Where Are You From · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Aluminum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Aluminum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
American Dream Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% American Dream · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Antifa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0% Antifa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ass Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Ass · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Autism Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Autism Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Barack Hussein Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Barack Hussein Obama · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Caddie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 93.2% · Ask 100.0% Caddie · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Caravan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Caravan · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ceasefire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ceasefire · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Central Casting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.9% Central Casting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cognitive Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Cognitive · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dancing in the Street Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 72.0% Dancing in the Street Open Polymarket ↗	—
Deal / Settle / Settled Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Deal / Settle / Settled · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dividend / Stimulus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Dividend / Stimulus · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Epstein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Epstein Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fat shot / Ozempic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0% Fat shot / Ozempic Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Filibuster Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Filibuster · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Front Row Joe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Front Row Joe · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.9% Gay · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Golden Dome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0% Golden Dome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greenland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Greenland · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Illness Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 97.0% Illness Open Polymarket ↗	—
Make Iran Great Again Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Make Iran Great Again Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Moon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Neurotic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 86.0% Neurotic Open Polymarket ↗	—
Newborn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Newborn · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Newscum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Newscum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peace in the Middle East Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Peace in the Middle East Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pelosi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pelosi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peptide Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0% Peptide Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Predict / Prediction Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Predict / Prediction Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Refund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Refund · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shit Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 92.1% · Ask 100.0% Shit · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shut Up Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Shut Up · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Six Seven Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 64.0% Six Seven Open Polymarket ↗	—
Slob Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 100.0% Slob · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Space Force Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Space Force · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stupid Person Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0% Stupid Person · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Teleprompter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Teleprompter · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Third Term Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Third Term · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Through the Roof Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Through the Roof · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
UFC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% UFC · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 24.0% UFO / UAP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Weave Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 88.0% Weave Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zohran / Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zohran / Mamdani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Who are you with / Where are you from

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Who are you with / Where are you from · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Who Are You With / Where Are You From · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Aluminum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Aluminum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

American Dream

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

American Dream · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Antifa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0%

Antifa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ass

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Ass · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Autism

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Autism

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Barack Hussein Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Hussein Obama · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Caddie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 93.2% · Ask 100.0%

Caddie · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Caravan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Caravan · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ceasefire · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Central Casting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.9%

Central Casting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cognitive

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Cognitive · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dancing in the Street

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 72.0%

Dancing in the Street

Open Polymarket ↗

Deal / Settle / Settled

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Deal / Settle / Settled · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dividend / Stimulus · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Epstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Epstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fat shot / Ozempic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0%

Fat shot / Ozempic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Filibuster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Filibuster · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Front Row Joe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Front Row Joe · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Gay

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.9%

Gay · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Golden Dome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0%

Golden Dome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Illness

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 97.0%

Illness

Open Polymarket ↗

Make Iran Great Again

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Make Iran Great Again

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Moon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Neurotic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 86.0%

Neurotic

Open Polymarket ↗

Newborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Newborn · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Newscum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Newscum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pelosi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pelosi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peptide

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

Peptide

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Predict / Prediction

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Predict / Prediction

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Refund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Refund · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Shit

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 92.1% · Ask 100.0%

Shit · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Shut Up

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Shut Up · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Six Seven

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 64.0%

Six Seven

Open Polymarket ↗

Slob

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 100.0%

Slob · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Space Force

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Space Force · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stupid Person

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0%

Stupid Person · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Teleprompter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Teleprompter · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Third Term

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Third Term · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Through the Roof

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Through the Roof · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

UFC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

UFC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 24.0%

UFO / UAP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Weave

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 88.0%

Weave

Open Polymarket ↗

Zohran / Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Zohran / Mamdani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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