Market comparison

What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25)

2 venues · 54 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

38 outcomes · $136K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Allah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 73.0% Allah Open Polymarket ↗	—
Antifa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Antifa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Apple Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Apple · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Autopen / Auto Pen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0% Autopen / Auto Pen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Barack Hussein Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Barack Hussein Obama · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bibi / Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 73.0% Bibi / Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0% Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency Open Polymarket ↗	—
Blockade Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Blockade · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Brother / Sister Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Brother / Sister · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ceasefire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Ceasefire Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ceasefire / Uranium Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0% Ceasefire / Uranium Open Polymarket ↗	—
Crypto / Bitcoin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Crypto / Bitcoin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cuba / Cuban Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0% Cuba / Cuban Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Cybersecurity / Cyber Security Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Diesel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Diesel · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dividend / Stimulus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Dividend / Stimulus · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Epstein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Epstein Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ethanol Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Ethanol Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Flying Car / Roadster Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 30.0% Flying Car / Roadster Open Polymarket ↗	—
Four More Years Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 60.0% Four More Years Open Polymarket ↗	—
Genius / Elon / Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Genius / Elon / Musk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Golden Dome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Golden Dome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Golf / Golfer / Golfing Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Golf / Golfer / Golfing · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greenland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 81.1% · Ask 100.0% Greenland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Houthi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Houthi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ilhan / Omar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ilhan / Omar · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jumbotron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Jumbotron · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Make Iran Great Again Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Make Iran Great Again Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Melania Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Melania · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Moon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nobel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nobel · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peace in the Middle East Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Peace in the Middle East Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pirate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Pirate · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Prediction Market / Predictive Market Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Prediction Market / Predictive Market Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rigged Election / Stolen Election Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Rigged Election / Stolen Election Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Six Seven Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Six Seven Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sleepy Joe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Sleepy Joe · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Soleimani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Soleimani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Strategic / Strategy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 52.0% Strategic / Strategy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Stupid Question Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Stupid Question Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Superintelligence / Super Intelligence Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Superintelligence / Super Intelligence · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 42.0% TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Third Term Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Third Term · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tomahawk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Tomahawk Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Trump Ocean / Trump Strait Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Trump Ocean / Trump Strait · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% UFO / UAP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Moon / UFO / UAP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Uranium Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Uranium Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Vanilla / Ice Cream Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 49.0% Vanilla / Ice Cream Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vivek / Ramaswamy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Vivek / Ramaswamy · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zacharia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Zacharia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zohran / Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% Zohran / Mamdani Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Allah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 73.0%

Allah

Open Polymarket ↗

Antifa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Antifa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Apple

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Apple · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Autopen / Auto Pen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Autopen / Auto Pen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Barack Hussein Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Hussein Obama · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bibi / Netanyahu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 73.0%

Bibi / Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Open Polymarket ↗

Blockade

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Blockade · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brother / Sister

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Brother / Sister · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Ceasefire

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ceasefire / Uranium

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ceasefire / Uranium

Open Polymarket ↗

Crypto / Bitcoin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Crypto / Bitcoin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cuba / Cuban

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 54.0%

Cuba / Cuban

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cybersecurity / Cyber Security

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Cybersecurity / Cyber Security

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Diesel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Diesel · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dividend / Stimulus · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Epstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Epstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ethanol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ethanol

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flying Car / Roadster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 30.0%

Flying Car / Roadster

Open Polymarket ↗

Four More Years

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 60.0%

Four More Years

Open Polymarket ↗

Genius / Elon / Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Genius / Elon / Musk · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Golden Dome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Golden Dome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Golf / Golfer / Golfing

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Golf / Golfer / Golfing · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 81.1% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Houthi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Houthi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ilhan / Omar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ilhan / Omar · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jumbotron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Jumbotron · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Make Iran Great Again

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Make Iran Great Again

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Melania

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Melania · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Moon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nobel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nobel · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pirate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Pirate · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prediction Market / Predictive Market

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Prediction Market / Predictive Market

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rigged Election / Stolen Election

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Rigged Election / Stolen Election

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Six Seven

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Six Seven

Open Polymarket ↗

Sleepy Joe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Sleepy Joe · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Soleimani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Soleimani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Strategic / Strategy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 52.0%

Strategic / Strategy

Open Polymarket ↗

Stupid Question

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Stupid Question

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Superintelligence / Super Intelligence

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Superintelligence / Super Intelligence · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 42.0%

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Third Term

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Third Term · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tomahawk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Tomahawk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Trump Ocean / Trump Strait

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Trump Ocean / Trump Strait · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

UFO / UAP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Moon / UFO / UAP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Uranium

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Uranium

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Vanilla / Ice Cream

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 49.0%

Vanilla / Ice Cream

Open Polymarket ↗

Vivek / Ramaswamy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Vivek / Ramaswamy · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zacharia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Zacharia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zohran / Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0%

Zohran / Mamdani

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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