Market comparison

What will Verizon say during their next earnings call?

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 24s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 24, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Who counts differs: Kalshi earnings-call markets count the company's representatives and the call operator; Polymarket counts anyone who speaks during the event, including analysts.
Word forms: Kalshi pays on the exact phrase and its plural or possessive form only; Polymarket's Mentions contract terms define their own form rules. Check edge words before treating a pair as hedged.
Scheduling: 'next' occasions are matched when both venues' scheduled dates are within 10 days (earnings calls) or 2 days (rallies, press conferences, PMQs). A rescheduled event can resolve differently on each venue.
Only outcomes with the same phrase set and the same minimum count are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for What will Verizon say during their next earnings call?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
5G Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 51.0% 5G Open Kalshi ↗	49.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 52.0% 5G Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Duo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	22.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 22.0% Duo Open Kalshi ↗	13.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.0% Duo Open Polymarket ↗	8.5 pp
Satellite Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	78.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 79.0% Satellite Open Kalshi ↗	75.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 80.0% Satellite Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 68.0% AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times Open Polymarket ↗	—
AI Connect Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0% AI Connect Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Broadband 20+ times Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.5% Bid 73.0% · Ask 88.0% Broadband 20+ times Open Polymarket ↗	—
C-Band Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% C-Band Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Churn 10+ times Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 91.0% Churn 10+ times Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fiber 10+ times Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 87.0% Fiber 10+ times Open Polymarket ↗	—
Google AI Pro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 17.0% Google AI Pro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Headwind Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 91.0% Headwind Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Home / MyHome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 80.0% Home / MyHome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Infrastructure Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 91.0% Infrastructure Open Polymarket ↗	—
Loyalty Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0% Loyalty Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
No Qualifying Event- Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% -No Qualifying Event- Open Polymarket ↗	—
Outage Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Outage Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Prepaid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.0% Prepaid Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rural Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0% Rural Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Simplicity Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 82.0% Simplicity Open Polymarket ↗	—
Spectrum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 79.0% Spectrum Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Starlink Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0% Starlink Open Polymarket ↗	—
Starry Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 20.0% Starry Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Synergy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	86.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0% Synergy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tailwind Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 64.0% Tailwind Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Unlimited Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 27.0% Unlimited Open Polymarket ↗	—
Verizon One Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 81.0% Verizon One Open Polymarket ↗	—

5G

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 51.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 52.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Duo

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 22.0%

Duo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.0%

Duo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 8.5 pp

Satellite

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 79.0%

Satellite

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

75.5%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 80.0%

Satellite

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 68.0%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

AI Connect

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 84.0%

AI Connect

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Broadband 20+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

80.5%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 88.0%

Broadband 20+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

C-Band

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

C-Band

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Churn 10+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

81.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 91.0%

Churn 10+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Fiber 10+ times

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

79.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 87.0%

Fiber 10+ times

Open Polymarket ↗

Google AI Pro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 17.0%

Google AI Pro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Headwind

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 91.0%

Headwind

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Home / MyHome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 80.0%

Home / MyHome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Infrastructure

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 91.0%

Infrastructure

Open Polymarket ↗

Loyalty

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0%

Loyalty

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

No Qualifying Event-

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

-No Qualifying Event-

Open Polymarket ↗

Outage

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Outage

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prepaid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

92.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.0%

Prepaid

Open Polymarket ↗

Rural

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0%

Rural

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Simplicity

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

71.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 82.0%

Simplicity

Open Polymarket ↗

Spectrum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 79.0%

Spectrum

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Starlink

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0%

Starlink

Open Polymarket ↗

Starry

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 20.0%

Starry

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Synergy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Synergy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tailwind

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 64.0%

Tailwind

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Unlimited

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 27.0%

Unlimited

Open Polymarket ↗

Verizon One

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

73.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 81.0%

Verizon One

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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