The Prediction Markets

What will Verizon say during their next earnings call?

Starts in 37 hKickoff
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Prepaid 92%

Next is Headwind at 89%. The venues differ most on Duo (Polymarket 11.5%, Kalshi 19%), a 7.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Prepaid
92%
Polymarket 92%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Prepaid
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Headwind
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Headwind
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$274
Trade this on Kalshi
Loyalty
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loyalty
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Kalshi
Synergy
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Synergy
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
AI Connect
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
AI Connect
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$408
Trade this on Kalshi
Infrastructure
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Infrastructure
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Churn 10+ times
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Churn 10+ times
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Polymarket
Broadband 20+ times
80.5%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Broadband 20+ times
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Home / MyHome
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Home / MyHome
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Fiber 10+ times
79.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fiber 10+ times
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 16 more outcomes
Spectrum
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spectrum
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$518
Trade this on Kalshi
Satellite
77.5%
Polymarket 76%polled, 23s agoKalshi 78%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Satellite
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Satellite
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$778
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 72¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 79¢.

Verizon One
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Verizon One
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Simplicity
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Simplicity
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Polymarket
Tailwind
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tailwind
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Kalshi
5G
51.3%
Polymarket 49%polled, 23s agoKalshi 52%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
5G
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
5G
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$769
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 47¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 52¢.

AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Rural
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rural
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$563
Trade this on Kalshi
C-Band
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
C-Band
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$745
Trade this on Kalshi
Outage
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Outage
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Kalshi
Google AI Pro
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Google AI Pro
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Unlimited
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Unlimited
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Duo
15.3%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 23s agoKalshi 19%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Duo
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Duo
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

Starlink
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Starlink
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Starry
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Starry
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$211
Trade this on Kalshi
No Qualifying Event-
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
No Qualifying Event-
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: 5 differences

Where they differ

  • Who counts differs: Kalshi earnings-call markets count the company's representatives and the call operator; Polymarket counts anyone who speaks during the event, including analysts.
  • Word forms: Kalshi pays on the exact phrase and its plural or possessive form only; Polymarket's Mentions contract terms define their own form rules. Check edge words before treating a pair as hedged.
  • Scheduling: 'next' occasions are matched when both venues' scheduled dates are within 10 days (earnings calls) or 2 days (rallies, press conferences, PMQs). A rescheduled event can resolve differently on each venue.
  • Only outcomes with the same phrase set and the same minimum count are linked.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 24, 2027, 12:30 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Verizon Communications Inc. Investor Events
Show full rule comparison
  • Who counts differs: Kalshi earnings-call markets count the company's representatives and the call operator; Polymarket counts anyone who speaks during the event, including analysts.
  • Word forms: Kalshi pays on the exact phrase and its plural or possessive form only; Polymarket's Mentions contract terms define their own form rules. Check edge words before treating a pair as hedged.
  • Scheduling: 'next' occasions are matched when both venues' scheduled dates are within 10 days (earnings calls) or 2 days (rallies, press conferences, PMQs). A rescheduled event can resolve differently on each venue.
  • Only outcomes with the same phrase set and the same minimum count are linked.
  • Trading closes Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 24, 2027, 12:30 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Prepaid
  • Headwind
  • Loyalty

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Prepaid for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Verizon say during their next earnings call?". Prepaid leads at 92%. Next is Headwind at 89%. $7K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Verizon currently scheduled to take place on October 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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