The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?

1 venue · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

17 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Active Trader / Active Trading

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0%

Active Trader / Active Trading

Open Kalshi ↗

Agent / Agentic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 50.0%

Agent / Agentic

Open Kalshi ↗

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 81.0%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Open Kalshi ↗

Bank / Banking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 44.0%

Bank / Banking

Open Kalshi ↗

Bitcoin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0%

Bitcoin

Open Kalshi ↗

Credit Card

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 36.0%

Credit Card

Open Kalshi ↗

Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 66.0%

Crypto / Cryptocurrency

Open Kalshi ↗

Event does not qualify

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Event does not qualify

Open Kalshi ↗

Gold (3+ times)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Gold (3+ times)

Open Kalshi ↗

Kalshi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

Kalshi

Open Kalshi ↗

Option

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0%

Option

Open Kalshi ↗

Perp / Perpetual

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 55.0%

Perp / Perpetual

Open Kalshi ↗

Prediction Market

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 75.0%

Prediction Market

Open Kalshi ↗

Retire / Retirement

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 46.0%

Retire / Retirement

Open Kalshi ↗

Social

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 57.0%

Social

Open Kalshi ↗

Sport

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 61.0%

Sport

Open Kalshi ↗

Tokenized / Tokenization

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 76.0%

Tokenized / Tokenization

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.