Market comparison

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $4.1M reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $135K reported volume

Observed 9m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Before April 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Before April 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before December 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Before December 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before February 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before February 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before January 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% Before January 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before July 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Before July 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before June 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before June 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before March 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before March 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before May 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Before May 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before November 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Before November 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before October 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before October 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before September 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before September 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
by December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% by December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—
by December 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0% by December 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
by June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 56.0% by June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
by March 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 44.0% by March 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
by September 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 4.2% by September 30, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
by September 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0% by September 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—

Before April 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before April 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before December 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Before December 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before February 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before February 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before January 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Before January 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before July 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before July 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before June 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before June 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before March 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before March 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before May 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before May 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before November 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Before November 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before October 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before October 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before September 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before September 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

by December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

by December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

by December 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

72.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0%

by December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

by June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

54.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 56.0%

by June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

by March 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 44.0%

by March 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

by September 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 4.2%

by September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

by September 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

64.5%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0%

by September 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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