Market comparison

When will Dune: Part Three be released?

2 venues · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 21, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Dune: Part Three be released?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
75+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.5% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0% 75+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
80+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 93.0% 80+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
85+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 93.0% 85+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
90+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0% 90+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
95+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 29.0% 95+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 98.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

75+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

93.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0%

75+

Open Polymarket ↗

80+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 93.0%

80+

Open Polymarket ↗

85+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

79.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 93.0%

85+

Open Polymarket ↗

90+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

57.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 63.0%

90+

Open Polymarket ↗

95+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 29.0%

95+

Open Polymarket ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 98.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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