Market comparison

When will OpenAI release GPT-7?

2 venues · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $154K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
August 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.9% August 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Before 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0% Before 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before June, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0% Before June, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before March, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Before March, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before September, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0% Before September, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.6% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.2% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 5.1% · Ask 12.0% October 23 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% October 26 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% October 27 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0% October 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.5% Bid 45.0% · Ask 46.0% October 29 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.5% Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0% October 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

August 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

August 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before June, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0%

Before June, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before March, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Before March, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before September, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0%

Before September, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

87.6%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.2%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 12.0%

October 23

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

October 26

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

October 27

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0%

October 28

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 46.0%

October 29

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 48.0%

October 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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