Market comparison

When will Trump and Mamdani meet?

2 venues · 45 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $3.4M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for When will Trump and Mamdani meet?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Abdel Fattah El-Sisi · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ahmed al-Sharaa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ahmed al-Sharaa · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Aleksandr Lukashenko Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Aleksandr Lukashenko Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ali Khamenei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Ali Khamenei · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Australia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Australia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Mar 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0% Before Mar 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Nov 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Before Nov 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Belarus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Belarus Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Changpeng Zhao Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Changpeng Zhao Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
China Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.5% Bid 78.0% · Ask 79.0% China Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delcy Rodríguez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Delcy Rodríguez · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Finland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Finland Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Friedrich Merz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Friedrich Merz · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Giorgia Meloni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Giorgia Meloni · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gulf country Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.2% Gulf country Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
iShowSpeed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.0% iShowSpeed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jair Bolsonaro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.4% Jair Bolsonaro Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Japan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Japan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Javier Milei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Javier Milei · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Keir Starmer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Keir Starmer · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kim Jong Un Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Kim Jong Un Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
King Mohammed VI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% King Mohammed VI Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lai Ching-te Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 3.6% · Ask 3.9% Lai Ching-te Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Lula da Silva · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Maria Corina Machado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Maria Corina Machado · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mohammed bin Salman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0% Mohammed bin Salman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
MrBeast Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.9% MrBeast Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nick Fuentes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.2% Nick Fuentes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.1% Nicolás Maduro Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
No meeting by December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% No meeting by December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Other EU country Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Other EU country Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pope Leo XIV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.2% Pope Leo XIV Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Russia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
South Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% South Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Switzerland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Switzerland Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Turkey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Turkey Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Ukraine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
United States Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7% United States Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vladimir Putin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0% Vladimir Putin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Xi Jinping Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Xi Jinping · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoon Suk Yeol Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.8% Yoon Suk Yeol Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Abdel Fattah El-Sisi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Abdel Fattah El-Sisi · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ahmed al-Sharaa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Aleksandr Lukashenko

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Aleksandr Lukashenko

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ali Khamenei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Ali Khamenei · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Australia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Australia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Mar 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 99.0%

Before Mar 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Belarus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Belarus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Changpeng Zhao

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Changpeng Zhao

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

78.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 79.0%

China

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Delcy Rodríguez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Delcy Rodríguez · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Finland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Finland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Friedrich Merz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Friedrich Merz · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Giorgia Meloni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Giorgia Meloni · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gulf country

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.2%

Gulf country

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

iShowSpeed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.0%

iShowSpeed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jair Bolsonaro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.4%

Jair Bolsonaro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Japan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Japan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Javier Milei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Javier Milei · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Keir Starmer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Keir Starmer · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kim Jong Un

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Kim Jong Un

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

King Mohammed VI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

King Mohammed VI

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lai Ching-te

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 3.9%

Lai Ching-te

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lula da Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Lula da Silva · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maria Corina Machado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Maria Corina Machado · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mohammed bin Salman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

66.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0%

Mohammed bin Salman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

MrBeast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.9%

MrBeast

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nick Fuentes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.2%

Nick Fuentes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nicolás Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.1%

Nicolás Maduro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

No meeting by December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

No meeting by December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Other EU country

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Other EU country

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pope Leo XIV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.2%

Pope Leo XIV

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Russia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

South Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Switzerland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Switzerland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turkey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Turkey

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Ukraine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

United States

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.7%

United States

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vladimir Putin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

84.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0%

Vladimir Putin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Xi Jinping

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Xi Jinping · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yoon Suk Yeol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.8%

Yoon Suk Yeol

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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