Market comparison
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 7 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗29 outcomes · $189K reported volume
Observed 53s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028
Kalshi
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $48K reported volume
Observed 53s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2029
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
China Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 85.2 pp | ||
Germany Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.7 pp | ||
Hungary Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.2 pp | ||
Qatar Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.7 pp | ||
Russia Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.4 pp | ||
Saudi Arabia Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Turkey Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.4 pp | ||
Alaska Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Austria Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Azerbaijan Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Belarus Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Brazil Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Egypt Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Finland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
India Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Italy Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kazakhstan Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
New York City Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
No meeting by December 31, 2027 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Other - Europe Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Other - Middle East/North Africa Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Poland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Serbia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Slovakia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
South Africa Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Switzerland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
UAE Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ukraine Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
United Arab Emirates Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
United States Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Vatican City Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
China
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 85.2 pp
Germany
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.7 pp
Hungary
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.2 pp
Qatar
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.7 pp
Russia
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.4 pp
Saudi Arabia
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
Turkey
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.4 pp
Alaska
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Austria
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Azerbaijan
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Belarus
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Brazil
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Egypt
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Finland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
India
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Italy
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kazakhstan
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
New York City
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
No meeting by December 31, 2027
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Other - Europe
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Other - Middle East/North Africa
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Poland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Serbia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Slovakia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
South Africa
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Switzerland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
UAE
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ukraine
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
United Arab Emirates
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
United States
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Vatican City
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.