Market comparison

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

1 venue · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

20 outcomes · $221K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Anduril Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0% Anduril Open Polymarket ↗	—
Anthropic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.9% Anthropic Open Polymarket ↗	—
Boeing Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Boeing Open Polymarket ↗	—
D-Wave Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.6% · Ask 100.0% D-Wave · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Eli Lilly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.7% Bid 10.3% · Ask 13.1% Eli Lilly Open Polymarket ↗	—
Freeport-McMoRan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0% Freeport-McMoRan Open Polymarket ↗	—
GlobalFoundries Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0% GlobalFoundries · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
IonQ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0% IonQ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lockheed Martin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0% Lockheed Martin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Micron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0% Micron Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nvidia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Nvidia Open Polymarket ↗	—
OpenAI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% OpenAI Open Polymarket ↗	—
Palantir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 8.0% Palantir Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pfizer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.9% · Ask 6.2% Pfizer Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rigetti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Rigetti · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Samsung Electronics Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.6% Samsung Electronics Open Polymarket ↗	—
SpaceX Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0% SpaceX Open Polymarket ↗	—
TikTok US / Bytedance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 6.0% TikTok US / Bytedance Open Polymarket ↗	—
TSMC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% TSMC Open Polymarket ↗	—
Unusual Machines Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0% Unusual Machines Open Polymarket ↗	—

Anduril

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0%

Anduril

Open Polymarket ↗

Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.9%

Anthropic

Open Polymarket ↗

Boeing

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Boeing

Open Polymarket ↗

D-Wave

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.6% · Ask 100.0%

D-Wave · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Eli Lilly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid 10.3% · Ask 13.1%

Eli Lilly

Open Polymarket ↗

Freeport-McMoRan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

Freeport-McMoRan

Open Polymarket ↗

GlobalFoundries

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.5% · Ask 100.0%

GlobalFoundries · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

IonQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

IonQ

Open Polymarket ↗

Lockheed Martin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 11.0%

Lockheed Martin

Open Polymarket ↗

Micron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Micron

Open Polymarket ↗

Nvidia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Nvidia

Open Polymarket ↗

OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

OpenAI

Open Polymarket ↗

Palantir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 8.0%

Palantir

Open Polymarket ↗

Pfizer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 6.2%

Pfizer

Open Polymarket ↗

Rigetti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Rigetti · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Samsung Electronics

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.6%

Samsung Electronics

Open Polymarket ↗

SpaceX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

SpaceX

Open Polymarket ↗

TikTok US / Bytedance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 6.0%

TikTok US / Bytedance

Open Polymarket ↗

TSMC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

TSMC

Open Polymarket ↗

Unusual Machines

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0%

Unusual Machines

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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