Market comparison

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

1 venue · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

19 outcomes · $81K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Afghanistan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.1% Afghanistan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Burma (Myanmar) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.1% Burma (Myanmar) Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic Republic of the Congo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Democratic Republic of the Congo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gaza Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9% Gaza Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haiti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.5% Haiti Open Kalshi ↗	—
Iran Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 7.0% Iran Open Kalshi ↗	—
Iraq Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 1.7% · Ask 6.3% Iraq Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lebanon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 8.3% · Ask 10.0% Lebanon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Libya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9% Libya Open Kalshi ↗	—
North Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.9% North Korea Open Kalshi ↗	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.8% · Ask 3.5% Russia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Somalia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.8% Somalia Open Kalshi ↗	—
South Sudan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.7% South Sudan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sudan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Sudan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Syria Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 6.3% · Ask 12.0% Syria Open Kalshi ↗	—
Uganda Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0% Uganda Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.7% Ukraine Open Kalshi ↗	—
Venezuela Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Venezuela · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yemen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 3.4% · Ask 8.0% Yemen Open Kalshi ↗	—

Afghanistan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.1%

Afghanistan

Open Kalshi ↗

Burma (Myanmar)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.1%

Burma (Myanmar)

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Open Kalshi ↗

Gaza

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9%

Gaza

Open Kalshi ↗

Haiti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.5%

Haiti

Open Kalshi ↗

Iran

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 7.0%

Iran

Open Kalshi ↗

Iraq

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.7%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 6.3%

Iraq

Open Kalshi ↗

Lebanon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 10.0%

Lebanon

Open Kalshi ↗

Libya

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9%

Libya

Open Kalshi ↗

North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.9%

North Korea

Open Kalshi ↗

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 3.5%

Russia

Open Kalshi ↗

Somalia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.8%

Somalia

Open Kalshi ↗

South Sudan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.7%

South Sudan

Open Kalshi ↗

Sudan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Sudan

Open Kalshi ↗

Syria

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 12.0%

Syria

Open Kalshi ↗

Uganda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 40.0%

Uganda

Open Kalshi ↗

Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.7%

Ukraine

Open Kalshi ↗

Venezuela

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Venezuela · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yemen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 8.0%

Yemen

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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