Market comparison

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

1 venue · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

16 outcomes · $949K reported volume

Observed 13s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Afghanistan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.9% · Ask 3.0% Afghanistan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bangladesh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.6% Bangladesh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cuba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4% Cuba Open Polymarket ↗	—
Indonesia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Indonesia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iran Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.2% Iran Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iraq Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.3% Iraq Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kuwait Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.7% Kuwait Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lebanon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Lebanon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Malaysia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.5% · Ask 2.6% Malaysia Open Polymarket ↗	—
North Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4% North Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pakistan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.2% Pakistan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Qatar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.6% · Ask 2.7% Qatar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Saudi Arabia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.8% Saudi Arabia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Syria Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.0% Syria Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tunisia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Tunisia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Venezuela Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Venezuela Open Polymarket ↗	—

Afghanistan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 3.0%

Afghanistan

Open Polymarket ↗

Bangladesh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.6%

Bangladesh

Open Polymarket ↗

Cuba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4%

Cuba

Open Polymarket ↗

Indonesia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Indonesia

Open Polymarket ↗

Iran

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.2%

Iran

Open Polymarket ↗

Iraq

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.3%

Iraq

Open Polymarket ↗

Kuwait

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.7%

Kuwait

Open Polymarket ↗

Lebanon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Lebanon

Open Polymarket ↗

Malaysia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 2.6%

Malaysia

Open Polymarket ↗

North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4%

North Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Pakistan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 4.2%

Pakistan

Open Polymarket ↗

Qatar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 2.7%

Qatar

Open Polymarket ↗

Saudi Arabia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.8%

Saudi Arabia

Open Polymarket ↗

Syria

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.0%

Syria

Open Polymarket ↗

Tunisia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Tunisia

Open Polymarket ↗

Venezuela

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Venezuela

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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