Market comparison
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗11 outcomes · $763K reported volume
Observed 25s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗13 outcomes · $101K reported volume
Observed 25s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Austria Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.8 pp | ||
Finland Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.1 pp | ||
Germany Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.9 pp | ||
Greece Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.7 pp | ||
Italy Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Japan Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.2 pp | ||
New Zealand Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.4 pp | ||
The Netherlands Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Belgium Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Israel Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Panama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Singapore Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
South Korea Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Switzerland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
United States Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
USA Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Austria
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.8 pp
Finland
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.1 pp
Germany
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.9 pp
Greece
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.7 pp
Italy
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Japan
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.2 pp
New Zealand
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.4 pp
The Netherlands
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
Belgium
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Israel
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Panama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Singapore
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
South Korea
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Switzerland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
United States
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
USA
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.