Market comparison

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

10 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2035

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.5% · Ask 9.3% Abdel Fattah el-Sisi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Abdelmadjid Tebboune Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.4% Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.4% Abdelmadjid Tebboune Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bola Tinubu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0% Bola Tinubu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cyril Ramaphosa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Cyril Ramaphosa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Emmerson Mnangagwa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0% Emmerson Mnangagwa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Félix Tshisekedi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 2.6% · Ask 5.4% Félix Tshisekedi Open Kalshi ↗	—
John Mahama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.4% John Mahama Open Kalshi ↗	—
Paul Kagame Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.4% Paul Kagame Open Kalshi ↗	—
Taye Atske Selassie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4% Taye Atske Selassie Open Kalshi ↗	—
William Ruto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.4% William Ruto Open Kalshi ↗	—

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 9.3%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

Open Kalshi ↗

Abdelmadjid Tebboune

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.4%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.4%

Abdelmadjid Tebboune

Open Kalshi ↗

Bola Tinubu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0%

Bola Tinubu

Open Kalshi ↗

Cyril Ramaphosa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Cyril Ramaphosa

Open Kalshi ↗

Emmerson Mnangagwa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0%

Emmerson Mnangagwa

Open Kalshi ↗

Félix Tshisekedi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.4%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 5.4%

Félix Tshisekedi

Open Kalshi ↗

John Mahama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.4%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.4%

John Mahama

Open Kalshi ↗

Paul Kagame

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.4%

Paul Kagame

Open Kalshi ↗

Taye Atske Selassie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.4%

Taye Atske Selassie

Open Kalshi ↗

William Ruto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.4%

William Ruto

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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