Market comparison

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

9 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Clarence Thomas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Clarence Thomas Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—
Howard Lutnick Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Howard Lutnick Open Polymarket ↗	—
JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5% JD Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nobody Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Nobody Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.5% Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0% Pete Hegseth Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—
Samuel Alito Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.9% Samuel Alito Open Polymarket ↗	—
Todd Blanche Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.9% Todd Blanche Open Polymarket ↗	—

Clarence Thomas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Clarence Thomas

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Donald Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Howard Lutnick

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Howard Lutnick

Open Polymarket ↗

JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

JD Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

Nobody

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

Nobody

Open Polymarket ↗

Pete Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Polymarket ↗

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.3%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Samuel Alito

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.9%

Samuel Alito

Open Polymarket ↗

Todd Blanche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.9%

Todd Blanche

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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