Market comparison

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $93K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 7, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andy Beshear Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0% Andy Beshear Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.7% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Trump Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 41.1% Donald Trump Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Glenn Youngkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1% Glenn Youngkin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gretchen Whitmer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9% Gretchen Whitmer Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
J.B. Pritzker Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.1% J.B. Pritzker Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
J.D. Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 47.0% J.D. Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jon Ossoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.9% Jon Ossoff Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Josh Shapiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.4% Josh Shapiro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kamala Harris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9% Kamala Harris Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.6% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marjorie Taylor Greene Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 36.1% Marjorie Taylor Greene Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pete Buttigieg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0% Pete Buttigieg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rand Paul Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7% Rand Paul Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ron DeSantis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0% Ron DeSantis Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ted Cruz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 66.0% Ted Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vivek Ramaswamy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Vivek Ramaswamy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wes Moore Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1% Wes Moore Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Andy Beshear

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

Andy Beshear

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.7%

Donald Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Trump Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 41.1%

Donald Trump Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Gavin Newsom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Gavin Newsom

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Glenn Youngkin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1%

Glenn Youngkin

Open Polymarket ↗

Gretchen Whitmer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9%

Gretchen Whitmer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

J.B. Pritzker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.1%

J.B. Pritzker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

J.D. Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 47.0%

J.D. Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

Jon Ossoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.9%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.9%

Jon Ossoff

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Josh Shapiro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.4%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.4%

Josh Shapiro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kamala Harris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9%

Kamala Harris

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.6%

Marco Rubio

Open Polymarket ↗

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 36.1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Open Polymarket ↗

Pete Buttigieg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0%

Pete Buttigieg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rand Paul

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.7%

Rand Paul

Open Polymarket ↗

Ron DeSantis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0%

Ron DeSantis

Open Polymarket ↗

Ted Cruz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 66.0%

Ted Cruz

Open Polymarket ↗

Vivek Ramaswamy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Vivek Ramaswamy

Open Polymarket ↗

Wes Moore

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1%

Wes Moore

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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