Market comparison

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

1 venue · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

19 outcomes · $132K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Alaska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0% Alaska Open Polymarket ↗	—
Colorado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.4% · Ask 4.3% Colorado Open Polymarket ↗	—
Georgia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Georgia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iowa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.5% Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0% Iowa Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.5% Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0% Kansas Open Polymarket ↗	—
Maine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 69.0% Maine Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michigan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0% Michigan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Minnesota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 55.0% Minnesota Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mississippi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 53.0% Mississippi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Montana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 55.0% Montana Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nebraska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.5% Bid 53.0% · Ask 66.0% Nebraska Open Polymarket ↗	—
New Hampshire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 36.0% New Hampshire Open Polymarket ↗	—
New Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.9% New Mexico Open Polymarket ↗	—
North Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% North Carolina Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ohio (Special) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	56.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 60.0% Ohio (Special) Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ohio (Special) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 35.0% Florida (Special) Open Polymarket ↗	—
South Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 82.0% South Carolina Open Polymarket ↗	—
Texas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	77.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0% Texas Open Polymarket ↗	—
Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.9% · Ask 5.6% Virginia Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alaska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0%

Alaska

Open Polymarket ↗

Colorado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 4.3%

Colorado

Open Polymarket ↗

Georgia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Georgia

Open Polymarket ↗

Iowa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

71.5%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0%

Iowa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

75.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0%

Kansas

Open Polymarket ↗

Maine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

67.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 69.0%

Maine

Open Polymarket ↗

Michigan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0%

Michigan

Open Polymarket ↗

Minnesota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 55.0%

Minnesota

Open Polymarket ↗

Mississippi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 53.0%

Mississippi

Open Polymarket ↗

Montana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 55.0%

Montana

Open Polymarket ↗

Nebraska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 66.0%

Nebraska

Open Polymarket ↗

New Hampshire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 36.0%

New Hampshire

Open Polymarket ↗

New Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.9%

New Mexico

Open Polymarket ↗

North Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

North Carolina

Open Polymarket ↗

Ohio (Special)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 60.0%

Ohio (Special)

Open Polymarket ↗

Ohio (Special)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 35.0%

Florida (Special)

Open Polymarket ↗

South Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 82.0%

South Carolina

Open Polymarket ↗

Texas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

77.5%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

Texas

Open Polymarket ↗

Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 5.6%

Virginia

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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