Market comparison
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
2 venues · 56 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗18 outcomes · $462K reported volume
Observed 55s ago
Observed 55s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗50 outcomes · $334K reported volume
Observed 55s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 2, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Arizona Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Georgia Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
Kansas Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Kentucky Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.0 pp | ||
Michigan Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
Mississippi Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
Nevada Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
New Hampshire Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 40.0 pp | ||
North Carolina Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Pennsylvania Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 75.0 pp | ||
South Carolina Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Wisconsin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 81.0 pp | ||
Alabama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alaska Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Arkansas Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Apr 1, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Aug 1, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Jun 1, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before May 1, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
California Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Colorado Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Connecticut Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Delaware Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Florida Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hawaii Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Idaho Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Illinois Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Indiana Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Iowa Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Louisiana Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Maine Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Maryland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Massachusetts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Minnesota Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Missouri Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Montana Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nebraska Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
New Jersey Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
New Mexico Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
New York Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
North Dakota Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ohio Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Oklahoma Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Oregon Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Rhode Island Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
South Dakota Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tennessee Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Texas Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Utah Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Vermont Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Virginia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Washington Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
West Virginia Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Wyoming Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Arizona
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Georgia
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Kansas
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Kentucky
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 6.0 pp
Michigan
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
Mississippi
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
Nevada
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
New Hampshire
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 40.0 pp
North Carolina
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Pennsylvania
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 75.0 pp
South Carolina
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Wisconsin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 81.0 pp
Alabama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Alaska
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Arkansas
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Before Apr 1, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before Aug 1, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before Jan 1, 2027
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before Jul 1, 2027
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before Jun 1, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Before May 1, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
California
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Colorado
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Connecticut
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Delaware
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Florida
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Hawaii
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Idaho
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Illinois
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Indiana
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Iowa
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Louisiana
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Maine
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Maryland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Massachusetts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Minnesota
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Missouri
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Montana
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Nebraska
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
New Jersey
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
New Mexico
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
New York
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
North Dakota
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Ohio
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Oklahoma
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Oregon
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Rhode Island
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
South Dakota
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Tennessee
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Texas
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Utah
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Vermont
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Virginia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Washington
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
West Virginia
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Wyoming
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.