Market comparison

Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

1 venue · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

15 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 3021h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jul 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Arizona Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Arizona Open Kalshi ↗	—
California Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old California Open Kalshi ↗	—
Illinois Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Illinois Open Kalshi ↗	—
Indiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Indiana Open Kalshi ↗	—
Iowa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Iowa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Kansas Open Kalshi ↗	—
Louisiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Louisiana Open Kalshi ↗	—
Minnesota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Minnesota Open Kalshi ↗	—
Missouri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Missouri Open Kalshi ↗	—
North Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old North Carolina · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
North Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old North Dakota Open Kalshi ↗	—
Oregon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Oregon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tennessee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Tennessee Open Kalshi ↗	—
Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	75.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Virginia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Washington Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Washington Open Kalshi ↗	—

Arizona

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Arizona

Open Kalshi ↗

California

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

California

Open Kalshi ↗

Illinois

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Illinois

Open Kalshi ↗

Indiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Indiana

Open Kalshi ↗

Iowa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Iowa

Open Kalshi ↗

Kansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Kansas

Open Kalshi ↗

Louisiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Louisiana

Open Kalshi ↗

Minnesota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Minnesota

Open Kalshi ↗

Missouri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Missouri

Open Kalshi ↗

North Carolina

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

North Carolina · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

North Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

North Dakota

Open Kalshi ↗

Oregon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Oregon

Open Kalshi ↗

Tennessee

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Tennessee

Open Kalshi ↗

Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

75.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Virginia

Open Kalshi ↗

Washington

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Washington

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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