Market comparison

Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 14 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

43 outcomes · $140K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which states will Trump visit before 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alaska Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Alaska · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Alaska · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Arizona Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	98.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Arizona · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 98.5% · Ask 100.0% Arizona · closed Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Georgia Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Georgia · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Georgia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Iowa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Iowa · closed Open Kalshi ↗	99.8% Bid 99.6% · Ask 100.0% Iowa Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Kansas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kansas · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kansas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Maine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 88.0% Maine Open Kalshi ↗	55.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 71.0% Maine Open Polymarket ↗	44.0 pp
Michigan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Michigan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	98.3% Bid 96.9% · Ask 99.6% Michigan Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Nevada Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Nevada · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Nevada · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
New Hampshire Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	32.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 34.0% New Hampshire Open Kalshi ↗	11.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0% New Hampshire Open Polymarket ↗	20.5 pp
North Carolina Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% North Carolina · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% North Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Ohio Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ohio · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ohio · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Oregon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Oregon Open Kalshi ↗	41.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 72.0% Oregon Open Polymarket ↗	9.0 pp
Texas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Texas · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Texas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Wisconsin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Wisconsin · closed Open Kalshi ↗	48.5% Bid 43.0% · Ask 54.0% Wisconsin Open Polymarket ↗	50.5 pp
Alabama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Alabama · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Arkansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 74.0% Arkansas Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
California Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% California · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Colorado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 34.0% Colorado Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hawaii Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 98.0% Hawaii Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Idaho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 29.0% Idaho Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Illinois Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Illinois · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Indiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 75.0% Indiana Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Louisiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 41.0% Louisiana Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Maryland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Maryland · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Massachusetts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 100.0% Massachusetts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Minnesota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 91.0% Minnesota Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mississippi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% Mississippi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Missouri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 77.0% Missouri Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Montana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Montana · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nebraska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nebraska · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
New England Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% New England · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
New Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% New Mexico Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
New York Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% New York · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Oklahoma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Oklahoma · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pennsylvania Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pennsylvania · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rhode Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Rhode Island Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
South Carolina Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% South Carolina · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Utah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 36.0% Utah Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Vermont Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 15.0% Vermont Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Virginia · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Washington Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 80.0% Washington Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
West Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 100.0% West Virginia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wyoming Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 82.0% Wyoming Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Alaska

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Alaska · closed

Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alaska

Kalshi

Polymarket

Arizona

Kalshi

Polymarket

Georgia

Kalshi

Polymarket

Iowa

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kansas

Kalshi

Polymarket

Maine

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michigan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nevada

Kalshi

Polymarket

New Hampshire

Kalshi

Polymarket

North Carolina

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ohio

Kalshi

Polymarket

Oregon

Kalshi

Polymarket

Texas

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wisconsin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alabama

Kalshi

Polymarket

Arkansas

Kalshi

Polymarket

California

Kalshi

Polymarket

Colorado

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hawaii

Kalshi

Polymarket

Idaho

Kalshi

Polymarket

Illinois

Kalshi

Polymarket

Indiana

Kalshi

Polymarket

Louisiana

Kalshi

Polymarket

Maryland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Massachusetts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Minnesota

Kalshi