Market comparison

Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

2 venues · 76 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

90 outcomes · $1.0M reported volume

Observed 44s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Arizona Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Arizona · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 98.5% · Ask 100.0% Arizona · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Arizona · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Georgia Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Georgia · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Georgia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Georgia · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kansas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 92.5% · Ask 100.0% Kansas · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kansas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kansas · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kentucky Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kentucky · closed Open Polymarket ↗	94.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kentucky · closed Open Kalshi ↗	6.0 pp
Michigan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Michigan · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 98.3% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.6% Michigan Open Polymarket ↗	98.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0% Michigan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mississippi Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	95.5% Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0% Mississippi Open Polymarket ↗	98.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0% Mississippi Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Nevada Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Nevada · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Nevada · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nevada · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
New Hampshire Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	41.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 50.0% New Hampshire Open Polymarket ↗ 11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% New Hampshire Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% New Hampshire Open Kalshi ↗	—
North Carolina Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% North Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% North Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% North Carolina · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pennsylvania Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 98.4% · Ask 100.0% Pennsylvania · closed Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0% Pennsylvania Open Kalshi ↗	75.0 pp
South Carolina Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% South Carolina · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% South Carolina · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Wisconsin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.4% · Ask 100.0% Wisconsin · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 47.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0% Wisconsin Open Polymarket ↗	19.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 22.0% Wisconsin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alabama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Alabama · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Alaska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Alaska · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Alaska · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Arkansas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 34.0% Arkansas Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Belarus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 2.9% · Ask 6.7% Belarus Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
California Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.3% · Ask 100.0% California · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Canada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Canada Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
China Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% China · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Colorado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 52.0% Colorado Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Connecticut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Connecticut · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delaware Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Delaware · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Florida Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Florida · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
France Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% France · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Germany Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Germany Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hawaii Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 18.0% Hawaii Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Idaho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 37.0% Idaho Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Illinois Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Illinois · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
India Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% India Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Indiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 70.0% Indiana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Iowa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Iowa · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Iowa · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ireland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ireland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0% Israel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Italy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Italy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Japan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Japan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lebanon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Lebanon Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Louisiana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 51.0% Louisiana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Maine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 43.0% Maine Open Polymarket ↗ 37.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 65.0% Maine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Maryland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Maryland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Massachusetts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 33.0% Massachusetts Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Mexico Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Minnesota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 82.0% Minnesota Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Missouri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 39.0% Missouri Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Montana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Montana · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nebraska Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Nebraska · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Jersey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 93.8% · Ask 100.0% New Jersey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New Mexico Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 53.0% New Mexico Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
New York Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% New York · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
North Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% North Dakota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
North Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% North Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ohio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ohio · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Ohio · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oklahoma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Oklahoma · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 2.4% · Ask 11.8% Oman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oregon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.6% Bid 4.1% · Ask 31.1% Oregon Open Polymarket ↗ 41.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 72.0% Oregon Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pakistan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Pakistan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Portugal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.7% Bid 3.4% · Ask 20.0% Portugal Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rhode Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 26.0% Rhode Island Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.5% Russia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Saudi Arabia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0% Saudi Arabia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
South Dakota Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% South Dakota · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
South Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% South Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Switzerland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Switzerland · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Syria Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Syria Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Taiwan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.1% Taiwan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tennessee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Tennessee · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Texas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Texas · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Texas · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Turkey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Turkey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.4% · Ask 6.9% Ukraine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
United Kingdom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% United Kingdom · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Utah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 48.0% Utah Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Venezuela Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Venezuela Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vermont Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 2.5% · Ask 25.6% Vermont Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Virginia · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Washington Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 36.0% Washington Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
West Virginia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 48.0% West Virginia Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wyoming Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 45.0% Wyoming Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Arizona

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Arizona · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 98.5% · Ask 100.0%

Arizona · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Arizona · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Georgia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Georgia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Georgia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Georgia · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Kansas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 92.5% · Ask 100.0%

Kansas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Kansas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Kansas · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Kentucky

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Kentucky · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Kentucky · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Michigan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Michigan · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

98.3%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.6%

Michigan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0%

Michigan

Open Kalshi ↗

Mississippi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

95.5%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0%

Mississippi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0%

Mississippi

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Nevada

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Nevada · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Nevada · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Nevada · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

New Hampshire

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 50.0%

New Hampshire

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

New Hampshire

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

New Hampshire

Open Kalshi ↗

North Carolina

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

North Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

North Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

North Carolina · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Pennsylvania

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 98.4% · Ask 100.0%

Pennsylvania · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 34.0%

Pennsylvania

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 75.0 pp

South Carolina

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

South Carolina · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

South Carolina · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Wisconsin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.4% · Ask 100.0%

Wisconsin · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

47.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0%

Wisconsin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 22.0%

Wisconsin

Open Kalshi ↗

Alabama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Alabama · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Alaska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Alaska · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Alaska · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Arkansas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 34.0%

Arkansas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Belarus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 6.7%

Belarus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

California

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.3% · Ask 100.0%

California · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Canada

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0%

Canada

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

China · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Colorado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 52.0%

Colorado

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Connecticut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Connecticut · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Delaware

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Delaware · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Florida

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Florida · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

France

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

France · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Germany

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Germany

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hawaii

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 18.0%

Hawaii

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Idaho

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 37.0%

Idaho

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Illinois

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Illinois · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

India

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

India

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Indiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 70.0%

Indiana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Iowa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Iowa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Iowa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ireland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ireland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0%

Israel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Italy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Italy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Japan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Japan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lebanon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Lebanon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Louisiana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 51.0%

Louisiana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 43.0%

Maine

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 65.0%

Maine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maryland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Maryland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Massachusetts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 33.0%

Massachusetts

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Mexico

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Minnesota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

72.5%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 82.0%

Minnesota

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Missouri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 39.0%

Missouri

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Montana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Montana · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nebraska

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Nebraska · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Jersey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 93.8% · Ask 100.0%

New Jersey · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New Mexico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 53.0%

New Mexico

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

New York

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

New York · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

North Dakota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

North Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ohio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ohio · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Ohio · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oklahoma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Oklahoma · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 11.8%

Oman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oregon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.6%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 31.1%

Oregon

Open Polymarket ↗

41.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 72.0%

Oregon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pakistan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pakistan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Portugal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.7%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 20.0%

Portugal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rhode Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 26.0%

Rhode Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.5%

Russia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Saudi Arabia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0%

Saudi Arabia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Dakota

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

South Dakota · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

South Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

South Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Switzerland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Switzerland · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Syria

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Syria

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Taiwan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.1%

Taiwan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tennessee

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Tennessee · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Texas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Texas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Texas · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Turkey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Turkey · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 6.9%

Ukraine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

United Kingdom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

United Kingdom · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Utah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 48.0%

Utah

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Venezuela

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

Venezuela

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vermont

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 25.6%

Vermont

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Virginia · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Washington

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 36.0%

Washington

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

West Virginia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 48.0%

West Virginia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wyoming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 45.0%

Wyoming

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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