Market comparison

Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?

2 venues · 38 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

99 outcomes · $219K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $79K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Aryeh Deri Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 19.1% Aryeh Deri Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Aryeh Deri Open Kalshi ↗	8.9 pp
Avigdor Lieberman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.5% Bid 20.1% · Ask 20.9% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗ 13.8% Bid 13.4% · Ask 14.1% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗	8.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bezalel Smotrich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.7% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗ 7.6% Bid 1.7% · Ask 13.6% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eli Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 2.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Israel Katz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.8% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.2% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.9% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗ 5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Israel Katz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Keren Terner Eyal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.4% Keren Terner Eyal Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Keren Terner Eyal Open Kalshi ↗	4.2 pp
Moshe Feiglin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.9% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Moshe Feiglin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Naftali Bennett Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.1% Bid 16.3% · Ask 17.9% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗ 15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nir Barkat Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8% Nir Barkat Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Nir Barkat Open Kalshi ↗	1.2 pp
Orit Farkash-Hacohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗ 7.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.9% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shaul Meridor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 6.8% Shaul Meridor Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0% Shaul Meridor Open Kalshi ↗	4.9 pp
Yair Golan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 3.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.4% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yair Lapid Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.8% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.6% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yair Lapid Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yaron Zelekha Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.8% Bid 10.7% · Ask 11.0% Yaron Zelekha Open Polymarket ↗	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yaron Zelekha Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
Amir Ohana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ayelet Shaked Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7% Ayelet Shaked Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benny Gantz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elazar Stern Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1% Elazar Stern Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gadi Eisenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gadi Eizenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.7% · Ask 7.4% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Hili Tropper Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.6% Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Itamar Ben Gvir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.9% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matan Kahana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Matan Kahana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Meirav Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.0% Meirav Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michael Malchieli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 19.9% Michael Malchieli Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Miri Regev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.8% Miri Regev Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moshe Arbel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.5% Moshe Arbel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Naama Lazimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Naama Lazimi Open Kalshi ↗	—
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.1% Bid 38.0% · Ask 38.3% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 38.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 46.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Oded Forer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.7% Oded Forer Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ofer Winter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 3.3% · Ask 11.8% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yariv Levin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.9% Yariv Levin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoav Ben-Tzur Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Yoav Ben-Tzur Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoaz Hendel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoram Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.2% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Aryeh Deri

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 19.1%

Aryeh Deri

Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Aryeh Deri

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avigdor Lieberman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bezalel Smotrich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eli Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Israel Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Keren Terner Eyal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Moshe Feiglin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Naftali Bennett

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nir Barkat

Polymarket

Kalshi

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Shaul Meridor

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Golan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Lapid

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yaron Zelekha

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amir Ohana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ayelet Shaked

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benny Gantz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elazar Stern

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eisenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Itamar Ben Gvir

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matan Kahana

Polymarket