The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

100 outcomes · $325K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 2m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

16 outcomes · $36K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Amir Ohana

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Kalshi ↗

Avigdor Lieberman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Polymarket ↗

20.5%

Bid 20.1% · Ask 20.9%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Polymarket ↗

13.6%

Bid 13.1% · Ask 14.1%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

Benjamin Netanyahu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

0.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

Benny Gantz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Benny Gantz

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Benny Gantz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Benny Gantz

Open Kalshi ↗

Eli Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Eli Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Eli Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

2.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6%

Eli Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Gideon Sa'ar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.6%

Gideon Sa’ar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Gideon Sa'ar

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 9.0 pp

Israel Katz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Israel Katz

Open Polymarket ↗

4.9%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.5%

Israel Katz

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.9%

Israel Katz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

Naftali Bennett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Polymarket ↗

19.0%

Bid 18.6% · Ask 19.4%

Naftali Bennett

Open Polymarket ↗

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

Ron Dermer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Ron Dermer

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ron Dermer

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.7 pp

Yair Golan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yair Golan

Open Polymarket ↗

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8%

Yair Golan

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Yair Golan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

Yair Lapid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Polymarket ↗

1.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8%

Yair Lapid

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.7%

Yair Lapid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 26.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Kalshi ↗

Yossi Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Yoram Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

1.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.6%

Yoram Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yoram Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Yossi Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yossi Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yossi Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Bezalel Smotrich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 5.3%

Bezalel Smotrich

Open Polymarket ↗

7.6%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 13.5%

Bezalel Smotrich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chili Tropper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

Einat Wilf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Einat Wilf

Open Kalshi ↗

Elazar Stern

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2%

Elazar Stern

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gadi Eisenkot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

Gadi Eizenkot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Gadi Eizenkot

Open Polymarket ↗

4.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 7.8%

Gadi Eizenkot

Open Polymarket ↗

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Gadi Eizenkot

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hili Tropper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Hili Tropper

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Itamar Ben Gvir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.9%

Itamar Ben Gvir

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Matan Kahana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Matan Kahana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moshe Feiglin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Moshe Feiglin

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9%

Moshe Feiglin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nir Barkat

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4%

Nir Barkat

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0%

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Open Polymarket ↗

37.3%

Bid 36.4% · Ask 38.2%

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Open Polymarket ↗

38.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ofer Winter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.9%

Ofer Winter

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shaul Meridor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 6.8%

Shaul Meridor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yaron Zelekha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 10.4% · Ask 11.1%

Yaron Zelekha

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yoaz Hendel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Yoaz Hendel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.