Market comparison

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

2 venues · 47 outcome rows · 17 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

99 outcomes · $219K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

29 outcomes · $46K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Amir Ohana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Aryeh Deri Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 17.2% Aryeh Deri Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Aryeh Deri Open Kalshi ↗	6.9 pp
Avigdor Lieberman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.5% Bid 20.1% · Ask 20.9% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗ 13.8% Bid 13.4% · Ask 14.1% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayelet Shaked Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7% Ayelet Shaked Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ayelet Shaked Open Kalshi ↗	3.1 pp
Eli Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 2.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Israel Katz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.8% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.2% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.9% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗ 6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Israel Katz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Keren Terner Eyal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.6% Keren Terner Eyal Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Keren Terner Eyal Open Kalshi ↗	3.3 pp
Meirav Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.0% Meirav Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Meirav Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	2.1 pp
Michael Malchieli Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.3% Bid 2.8% · Ask 27.8% Michael Malchieli Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% Michael Malchieli Open Kalshi ↗	4.3 pp
Miri Regev Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.8% Miri Regev Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Miri Regev Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Naftali Bennett Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.2% Bid 17.8% · Ask 18.6% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗ 15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗	—
Oded Forer Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.7% Oded Forer Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Oded Forer Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
Orit Farkash-Hacohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗ 7.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 14.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yariv Levin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.9% Yariv Levin Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Yariv Levin Open Kalshi ↗	3.1 pp
Yitzhak Goldknopf Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 3.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.4% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoav Ben-Tzur Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Yoav Ben-Tzur Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Yoav Ben-Tzur Open Kalshi ↗	11.5 pp
Yoram Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.2% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Yoram Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benny Gantz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bezalel Smotrich Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.1% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗ 4.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Amsalem Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% David Amsalem Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elazar Stern Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1% Elazar Stern Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gadi Eisenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gadi Eizenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.7% · Ask 7.6% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gideon Sa'ar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Gideon Sa'ar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilad Kariv Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gilad Kariv Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haim Biton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Haim Biton Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Hili Tropper Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.9% Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Itamar Ben Gvir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.9% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matan Kahana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Matan Kahana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Miki Zohar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Miki Zohar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moshe Arbel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.1% Moshe Arbel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moshe Feiglin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.9% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moshe Gafni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Moshe Gafni Open Kalshi ↗	—
Naama Lazimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Naama Lazimi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nir Barkat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.6% Nir Barkat Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.1% Bid 38.0% · Ask 38.3% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 38.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 46.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ofer Winter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 10.6% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ofir Katz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Ofir Katz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shaul Meridor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 6.8% Shaul Meridor Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yair Lapid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.7% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.6% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yaron Zelekha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.8% Bid 10.6% · Ask 11.0% Yaron Zelekha Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yinon Azulay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Yinon Azulay Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yitzhak Goldknopf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yitzhak Goldknopf Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoaz Hendel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Amir Ohana

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amir Ohana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Aryeh Deri

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avigdor Lieberman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ayelet Shaked

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eli Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Israel Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Keren Terner Eyal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Meirav Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Michael Malchieli

Polymarket

Kalshi

Miri Regev

Polymarket

Kalshi

Naftali Bennett

Polymarket

Kalshi

Oded Forer

Polymarket

Kalshi

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yariv Levin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yitzhak Goldknopf

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yoram Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benny Gantz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bezalel Smotrich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

David Amsalem

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elazar Stern

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eisenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gideon Sa'ar

Polymarket