Market comparison

Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?

2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

99 outcomes · $275K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $44K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Amir Ohana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗ 4.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ayelet Shaked Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Ayelet Shaked Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ayelet Shaked Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Bezalel Smotrich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.5% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗ 10.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 19.9% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Kalshi ↗	—
Efrat Rayten Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Efrat Rayten Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Efrat Rayten Open Kalshi ↗	5.5 pp
Gideon Sa'ar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Gideon Sa’ar Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Gideon Sa'ar Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Gilad Kariv Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.8% Bid 5.1% · Ask 6.5% Gilad Kariv Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Gilad Kariv Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
Oded Forer Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.2% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.3% Oded Forer Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Oded Forer Open Kalshi ↗	2.2 pp
Ofir Katz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7% Ofir Katz Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ofir Katz Open Kalshi ↗	2.1 pp
Orit Farkash-Hacohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗ 3.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.9% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Simcha Rothman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Simcha Rothman Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Simcha Rothman Open Kalshi ↗	2.6 pp
Tally Gotliv Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.1% Bid 6.5% · Ask 9.6% Tally Gotliv Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Tally Gotliv Open Kalshi ↗	6.0 pp
Yariv Levin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.1% Bid 1.8% · Ask 6.4% Yariv Levin Open Polymarket ↗	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 21.0% Yariv Levin Open Kalshi ↗	9.9 pp
Avigdor Lieberman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.6% Bid 20.3% · Ask 21.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗ 13.7% Bid 13.2% · Ask 14.1% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benny Gantz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elazar Stern Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2% Elazar Stern Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Eli Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 2.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gadi Eizenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.7% · Ask 6.8% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Hili Tropper Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Hili Tropper Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Israel Katz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 3.4% · Ask 6.4% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 7.9% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Itamar Ben Gvir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 2.2% · Ask 7.2% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Karine Elharrar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Karine Elharrar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Matan Kahana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Matan Kahana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moshe Feiglin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.9% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moshe Saada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Moshe Saada Open Kalshi ↗	—
Naftali Bennett Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.3% Bid 18.5% · Ask 20.0% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗ 15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nir Barkat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.6% Nir Barkat Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.8% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.5% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 38.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 40.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 38.5% Bid 38.0% · Ask 39.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ofer Winter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.6% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shaul Meridor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 6.8% Shaul Meridor Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yair Golan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yair Lapid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.7% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yaron Zelekha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 9.9% · Ask 11.2% Yaron Zelekha Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoaz Hendel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoram Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Amir Ohana

Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amir Ohana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ayelet Shaked

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bezalel Smotrich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Efrat Rayten

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gideon Sa'ar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gilad Kariv

Polymarket

Kalshi

Oded Forer

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ofir Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Simcha Rothman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tally Gotliv

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yariv Levin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avigdor Lieberman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benny Gantz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elazar Stern

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eli Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Israel Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Itamar Ben Gvir

Polymarket

Kalshi

Karine Elharrar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matan Kahana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Moshe Feiglin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Moshe Saada

Polymarket