Market comparison

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

2 venues · 40 outcome rows · 16 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

99 outcomes · $272K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

24 outcomes · $81K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Amir Ohana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗ 1.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗	—
Avi Dichter Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Avi Dichter Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Avi Dichter Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Bezalel Smotrich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.7% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗ 4.7% Bid 1.7% · Ask 7.6% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗ 0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elazar Stern Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1% Elazar Stern Open Polymarket ↗ 1.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.8% Elazar Stern Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Elazar Stern Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eli Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 2.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.6% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gideon Sa'ar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Gideon Sa’ar Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gideon Sa'ar Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Itamar Ben Gvir Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.9% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗ 7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 18.0% Itamar Ben-Gvir Open Kalshi ↗	—
Matan Kahana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Matan Kahana Open Polymarket ↗ 5.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.9% Matan Kahana Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Matan Kahana Open Kalshi ↗	—
Meirav Ben-Ari Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Meirav Ben-Ari Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Meirav Ben-Ari Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Ofer Winter Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.5% Bid 3.4% · Ask 7.5% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗ 4.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Ofer Winter Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ram Ben-Barak Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Ram Ben-Barak Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ram Ben-Barak Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
Talya Lankri Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.4% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.7% Talya Lankri Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Talya Lankri Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Yair Golan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗ 4.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.3% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoaz Hendel Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗ 0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoram Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.2% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗ 10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% Yoram Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoram Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Yossi Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yossi Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Amichai Eliyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Amichai Eliyahu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Avigdor Lieberman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.1% · Ask 20.9% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗ 13.8% Bid 13.4% · Ask 14.1% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benny Gantz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gadi Eizenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.7% · Ask 7.4% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Haim Katz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Haim Katz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hamad Amar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Hamad Amar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Hili Tropper Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Israel Katz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.2% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.9% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Limor Son Har-Melech Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Limor Son Har-Melech Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moshe Feiglin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.9% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Naftali Bennett Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.1% Bid 16.3% · Ask 17.9% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗ 15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nir Barkat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.5% Nir Barkat Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.1% Bid 38.0% · Ask 38.3% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗ 37.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Orit Farkash-Hacohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shaul Meridor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 6.8% Shaul Meridor Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tally Gotliv Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Tally Gotliv Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yair Lapid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.5% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.6% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yaron Zelekha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.8% Bid 10.7% · Ask 11.0% Yaron Zelekha Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yitzhak Wasserlauf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yitzhak Wasserlauf Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoav Segalovitz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yoav Segalovitz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoav Segalovitz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 2.2% · Ask 7.4% Yoav Segalovich Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Amir Ohana

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amir Ohana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avi Dichter

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bezalel Smotrich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elazar Stern

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eli Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gideon Sa'ar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Itamar Ben Gvir

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matan Kahana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Meirav Ben-Ari

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ofer Winter

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ram Ben-Barak

Polymarket

Kalshi

Talya Lankri

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Golan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yoaz Hendel

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yoram Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yoram Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amichai Eliyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avigdor Lieberman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benny Gantz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Haim Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hamad Amar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Hili Tropper

Polymarket