Market comparison

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 22 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

52 outcomes · $275K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

23 outcomes · $42K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alan Campbell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 13.3% Alan Campbell Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Alan Campbell Open Kalshi ↗	5.1 pp
Alex Norris Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.1% Alex Norris Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Alex Norris Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Angela Eagle Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.0% Angela Eagle Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Angela Eagle Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Angela Rayner Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.8% Angela Rayner Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Angela Rayner Open Kalshi ↗	2.1 pp
Angela Smith Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.3% Angela Smith Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Angela Smith Open Kalshi ↗	2.4 pp
Anneliese Midgley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% Anneliese Midgley Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Anneliese Midgley Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Bridget Phillipson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.3% Bridget Phillipson Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Bridget Phillipson Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Chris Bryant Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4% Chris Bryant Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Chris Bryant Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Douglas Alexander Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.2% Douglas Alexander Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Douglas Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	2.1 pp
Ed Miliband Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.9% Ed Miliband Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ed Miliband Open Kalshi ↗	1.3 pp
Heidi Alexander Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.3% Heidi Alexander Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Heidi Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
John Healey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% John Healey Open Polymarket ↗	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0% John Healey Open Kalshi ↗	10.5 pp
Jonathan Reynolds Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.3% Jonathan Reynolds Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Jonathan Reynolds Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Lisa Nandy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.3% Lisa Nandy Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Lisa Nandy Open Kalshi ↗	1.1 pp
Louise Haigh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.0% Louise Haigh Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Louise Haigh Open Kalshi ↗	1.3 pp
Lucy Powell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8% Lucy Powell Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Lucy Powell Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Miatta Fahnbulleh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.9% Miatta Fahnbulleh Open Polymarket ↗	13.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0% Miatta Fahnbulleh Open Kalshi ↗	6.6 pp
Pat McFadden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4% Pat McFadden Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Pat McFadden Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Shabana Mahmood Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.5% Shabana Mahmood Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Shabana Mahmood Open Kalshi ↗	1.7 pp
Stephen Kinnock Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.2% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.3% Stephen Kinnock Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Stephen Kinnock Open Kalshi ↗	2.2 pp
Wes Streeting Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0% Wes Streeting Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Wes Streeting Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Yvette Cooper Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.9% Yvette Cooper Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yvette Cooper Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
Brooke Rollins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.0% Brooke Rollins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chris Wright Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0% Chris Wright Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Doug Burgum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.7% Doug Burgum Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Doug Collins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Doug Collins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Howard Lutnick Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.9% Howard Lutnick Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Indeterminate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Indeterminate Open Kalshi ↗	—
J.D. Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.1% J.D. Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jamieson Greer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0% Jamieson Greer Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
John Ratcliffe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9% John Ratcliffe Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kelly Loeffler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2% Kelly Loeffler Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lee Zeldin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.1% Lee Zeldin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Linda McMahon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.9% Linda McMahon Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mike Waltz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.0% Mike Waltz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
None before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.6% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.2% None before 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 7.4% · Ask 11.4% Pete Hegseth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.9% · Ask 7.0% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Russell T. Vought Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.4% Russell T. Vought Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Scott Bessent Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.8% Scott Bessent Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Scott Turner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4% Scott Turner Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sean Duffy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3% Sean Duffy Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Susie Wiles Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.6% Bid 24.6% · Ask 26.6% Susie Wiles Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alan Campbell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 13.3%

Alan Campbell

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Alan Campbell

Polymarket

Kalshi

Alex Norris

Polymarket

Kalshi

Angela Eagle

Polymarket

Kalshi

Angela Rayner

Polymarket

Kalshi

Angela Smith

Polymarket

Kalshi

Anneliese Midgley

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bridget Phillipson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chris Bryant

Polymarket

Kalshi

Douglas Alexander

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ed Miliband

Polymarket

Kalshi

Heidi Alexander

Polymarket

Kalshi

John Healey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jonathan Reynolds

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lisa Nandy

Polymarket

Kalshi

Louise Haigh

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lucy Powell

Polymarket

Kalshi

Miatta Fahnbulleh

Polymarket

Kalshi

Pat McFadden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Shabana Mahmood

Polymarket

Kalshi

Stephen Kinnock

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wes Streeting

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yvette Cooper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brooke Rollins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chris Wright

Polymarket

Kalshi

Doug Burgum

Polymarket

Kalshi

Doug Collins

Polymarket