Market comparison

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

2 venues · 74 outcome rows · 17 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

70 outcomes · $5.4M reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

29 outcomes · $137K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Brooke Rollins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Brooke Rollins Open Kalshi ↗	5.3% Bid 2.8% · Ask 7.8% Brooke Rollins Open Polymarket ↗	11.7 pp
Chris Wright Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Chris Wright Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0% Chris Wright Open Polymarket ↗	16.4 pp
Doug Burgum Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Doug Burgum Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.7% Doug Burgum Open Polymarket ↗	10.5 pp
Doug Collins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Doug Collins Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Doug Collins Open Polymarket ↗	30.5 pp
Howard Lutnick Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Howard Lutnick Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.9% Howard Lutnick Open Polymarket ↗	16.4 pp
Jamieson Greer Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Jamieson Greer Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0% Jamieson Greer Open Polymarket ↗	10.3 pp
John Ratcliffe Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% John Ratcliffe Open Kalshi ↗	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9% John Ratcliffe Open Polymarket ↗	9.4 pp
Kelly Loeffler Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Kelly Loeffler Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2% Kelly Loeffler Open Polymarket ↗	9.2 pp
Lee Zeldin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.5% Bid 4.6% · Ask 8.9% Lee Zeldin Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.1% Lee Zeldin Open Polymarket ↗	6.9 pp
Linda McMahon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Linda McMahon Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.9% Linda McMahon Open Polymarket ↗	17.3 pp
Marco Rubio Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0% Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	9.4 pp
Pete Hegseth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	27.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Pete Hegseth Open Kalshi ↗	9.5% Bid 7.6% · Ask 11.4% Pete Hegseth Open Polymarket ↗	17.5 pp
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	5.0% Bid 2.9% · Ask 7.0% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	8.1 pp
Scott Bessent Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.3% Bid 5.1% · Ask 7.3% Scott Bessent Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.8% Scott Bessent Open Polymarket ↗	6.6 pp
Scott Turner Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Scott Turner Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1% Scott Turner Open Polymarket ↗	15.3 pp
Sean Duffy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Sean Duffy Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3% Sean Duffy Open Polymarket ↗	12.2 pp
Susie Wiles Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0% Susie Wiles Open Kalshi ↗	25.5% Bid 24.7% · Ask 26.3% Susie Wiles Open Polymarket ↗	11.5 pp
Alan Campbell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Alan Campbell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Alex Norris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Alex Norris Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Amy Gleason Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Amy Gleason Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Angela Eagle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0% Angela Eagle Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Angela Rayner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Angela Rayner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Angela Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Angela Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Anneliese Midgley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Anneliese Midgley Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Aug 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Aug 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Dec 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0% Before Dec 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% Before Jan 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Nov 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Before Nov 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Oct 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Oct 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Sep 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before Sep 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bill Pulte Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Bill Pulte Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Brendan Carr Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 9.1% · Ask 13.0% Brendan Carr Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bridget Phillipson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Bridget Phillipson Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Chris Bryant Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Chris Bryant Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Bongino Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Dan Bongino · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
David Sacks Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 97.0% David Sacks · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Douglas Alexander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Douglas Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ed Miliband Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ed Miliband Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greg Bovino Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Greg Bovino · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Heidi Alexander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Heidi Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Indeterminate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Indeterminate Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
J.D. Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0% JD Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
J.D. Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.1% J.D. Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Healey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0% John Healey Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jonathan Reynolds Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Jonathan Reynolds Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Karoline Leavitt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Karoline Leavitt · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kash Patel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Kash Patel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kristi Noem Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kristi Noem · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lisa Nandy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Lisa Nandy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lori Chavez-DeRemer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.7% Bid 99.7% · Ask 100.0% Lori Chavez-DeRemer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Louise Haigh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Louise Haigh Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lucy Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Lucy Powell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mehmet Oz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Mehmet Oz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Miatta Fahnbulleh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0% Miatta Fahnbulleh Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mike Huckabee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Mike Huckabee Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mike Waltz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.0% Mike Waltz Open Polymarket ↗	—
None before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.1% None before 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pam Bondi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Pam Bondi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pat McFadden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Pat McFadden Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peter Navarro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Peter Navarro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ric Grenell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0% Ric Grenell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rodney Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Rodney Scott Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Russell Vought Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Russell Vought Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Russell Vought Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.8% Russell T. Vought Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shabana Mahmood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Shabana Mahmood Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stephen Kinnock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Stephen Kinnock Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stephen Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Stephen Miller Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steve Witkoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Steve Witkoff Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steven Cheung Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Steven Cheung Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Todd Blanche Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Todd Blanche · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tom Homan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Tom Homan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tulsi Gabbard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Tulsi Gabbard · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wes Streeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Wes Streeting Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yvette Cooper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yvette Cooper Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Brooke Rollins

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Brooke Rollins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 7.8%

Brooke Rollins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 11.7 pp

Chris Wright

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Chris Wright

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0%

Chris Wright

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.4 pp

Doug Burgum

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Doug Burgum

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.7%

Doug Burgum

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Doug Collins

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

Doug Collins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Doug Collins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 30.5 pp

Howard Lutnick

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

Howard Lutnick

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.9%

Howard Lutnick

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.4 pp

Jamieson Greer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Jamieson Greer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0%

Jamieson Greer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.3 pp

John Ratcliffe

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

John Ratcliffe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9%

John Ratcliffe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 9.4 pp

Kelly Loeffler

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Kelly Loeffler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2%

Kelly Loeffler

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 9.2 pp

Lee Zeldin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.5%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 8.9%

Lee Zeldin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.1%

Lee Zeldin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.9 pp

Linda McMahon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Linda McMahon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.9%

Linda McMahon

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 17.3 pp

Marco Rubio

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 9.4 pp

Pete Hegseth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 11.4%

Pete Hegseth

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 17.5 pp

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 7.0%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 8.1 pp

Scott Bessent

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 7.3%

Scott Bessent

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 0.8%

Scott Bessent

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.6 pp

Scott Turner

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Scott Turner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1%

Scott Turner

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 15.3 pp

Sean Duffy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Sean Duffy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3%

Sean Duffy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.2 pp

Susie Wiles

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

Susie Wiles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 24.7% · Ask 26.3%

Susie Wiles

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 11.5 pp

Alan Campbell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Alan Campbell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Alex Norris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Alex Norris

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Amy Gleason

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Amy Gleason

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Angela Eagle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0%

Angela Eagle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Angela Rayner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Angela Rayner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Angela Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Angela Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Anneliese Midgley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Anneliese Midgley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Aug 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Dec 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0%

Before Dec 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0%

Before Jan 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Before Nov 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Sep 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Sep 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bill Pulte

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Bill Pulte

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brendan Carr

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 13.0%

Brendan Carr

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bridget Phillipson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Bridget Phillipson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Chris Bryant

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Chris Bryant

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Bongino

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dan Bongino · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

David Sacks

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 97.0%

David Sacks · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Douglas Alexander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Douglas Alexander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ed Miliband

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ed Miliband

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greg Bovino

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Greg Bovino · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Heidi Alexander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Heidi Alexander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Indeterminate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Indeterminate

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

J.D. Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0%

JD Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

J.D. Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.1%

J.D. Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

John Healey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 18.0%

John Healey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jonathan Reynolds

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Jonathan Reynolds

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Karoline Leavitt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Karoline Leavitt · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kash Patel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Kash Patel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kristi Noem

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Kristi Noem · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lisa Nandy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Lisa Nandy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.7%

Bid 99.7% · Ask 100.0%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Louise Haigh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Louise Haigh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lucy Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Lucy Powell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mehmet Oz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Mehmet Oz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Miatta Fahnbulleh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

Miatta Fahnbulleh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mike Huckabee

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Mike Huckabee

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mike Waltz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.0%

Mike Waltz

Open Polymarket ↗

None before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.1%

None before 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Pam Bondi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pam Bondi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pat McFadden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Pat McFadden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peter Navarro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Peter Navarro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ric Grenell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0%

Ric Grenell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rodney Scott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Rodney Scott

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Russell Vought

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Russell Vought

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Russell Vought

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.8%

Russell T. Vought

Open Polymarket ↗

Shabana Mahmood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Shabana Mahmood

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stephen Kinnock

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Stephen Kinnock

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stephen Miller

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Stephen Miller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Steve Witkoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Steve Witkoff

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Steven Cheung

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Steven Cheung

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Todd Blanche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Todd Blanche · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tom Homan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Tom Homan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tulsi Gabbard

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Tulsi Gabbard · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wes Streeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Wes Streeting

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yvette Cooper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yvette Cooper

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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