The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

2 venues · 131 outcome rows · 31 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

62 outcomes · $2.6M reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 27, 2029

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

128 outcomes · $184K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Alina Habba

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Alina Habba

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.2%

Alina Habba

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.2 pp

Anna Kelly

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Anna Kelly

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Anna Kelly

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Ari Fleischer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ari Fleischer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Ari Fleischer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Beni Rae Harmony

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Beni Rae Harmony

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 7.2%

Beni Rae Harmony

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.8 pp

Elizabeth Pipko

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Elizabeth Pipko

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.1%

Bid 8.2% · Ask 10.0%

Elizabeth Pipko

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Harrison Fields

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 2.0%

Harrison Fields

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.8%

Harrison Fields

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Hogan Gidley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hogan Gidley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.0%

Hogan Gidley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Jake Paul

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jake Paul

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Jake Paul

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Kaelan Dorr

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kaelan Dorr

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Kaelan Dorr

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Kari Lake

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Kari Lake

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 8.1%

Kari Lake

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.9 pp

Karoline Leavitt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Karoline Leavitt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.2%

Karoline Leavitt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Katie Miller

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Katie Miller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.9%

Katie Miller

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.3 pp

Katie Pavlich

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Katie Pavlich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Katie Pavlich

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Kayleigh McEnany

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kayleigh McEnany

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.0%

Kayleigh McEnany

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Kush Desai

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kush Desai

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Kush Desai

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Lara Trump

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lara Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.5%

Lara Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.3 pp

Laura Loomer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Laura Loomer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.0%

Laura Loomer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.3 pp

Lauren Bis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lauren Bis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.0%

Lauren Bis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Liz Huston

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Liz Huston

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.9%

Liz Huston

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Margo Martin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Margo Martin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.5%

Margo Martin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Maria Bartiromo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Maria Bartiromo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.1%

Maria Bartiromo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Matthew Boyle

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Matthew Boyle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Matthew Boyle

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Monica Crowley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Monica Crowley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.2%

Monica Crowley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Natalie Harp

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Natalie Harp

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.9%

Natalie Harp

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.6 pp

Pat Adams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Pat Adams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Pat Adams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Rachel Campos-Duffy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Rachel Campos-Duffy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4%

Rachel Campos-Duffy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Scott Jennings

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Scott Jennings

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Scott Jennings

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Spencer Pratt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Spencer Pratt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Spencer Pratt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Steven Cheung

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Steven Cheung

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.8%

Steven Cheung

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Taylor Rogers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Taylor Rogers

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.1%

Taylor Rogers

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Tricia McLaughlin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tricia McLaughlin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.8%

Tricia McLaughlin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Adam Telle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 70.0%

Adam Telle

Open Polymarket ↗

Ben Ferguson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ben Ferguson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ben Shapiro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ben Shapiro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benny Johnson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Benny Johnson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brent Ingraham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Brent Ingraham

Open Polymarket ↗

Brian Mast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Brian Mast

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AX · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AY · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate AZ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AZ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BX · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BY · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate BZ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BZ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Candidate CI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cara Castronuova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cara Castronuova

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Charles Young III

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0%

Charles Young III

Open Polymarket ↗

Dan Bongino

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dan Bongino

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Danielle Alvarez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Danielle Alvarez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Eric Daugherty

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Eric Daugherty

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Erika Kirk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Erika Kirk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Erin Elmore Scavino

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Erin Elmore Scavino

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

George Santos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

George Santos

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jack Posobiec

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jack Posobiec

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jason Miller

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jason Miller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jayme Franklin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jayme Franklin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joe Sweeney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Joe Sweeney

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kat Timpf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kat Timpf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kaylee McGhee White

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kaylee McGhee White

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Logan Paul

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Logan Paul

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Marc Andersen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Marc Andersen

Open Polymarket ↗

Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mark Levin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Mark Levin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Matt Walsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Matt Walsh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Michael Obadal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Michael Obadal

Open Polymarket ↗

Mike Cernovich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Mike Cernovich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nicki Minaj

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Nicki Minaj

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

No new person

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

No new person

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peter Doocy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Peter Doocy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Roma Daravi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Roma Daravi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sage Steele

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sage Steele

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sean Parnell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Sean Parnell

Open Polymarket ↗

Sean Spicer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sean Spicer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Taylor Budowich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Taylor Budowich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tucker Carlson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tucker Carlson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tulsi Gabbard

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tulsi Gabbard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Vanessa Broussard

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Vanessa Broussard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

W. Jordan Gillis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 18.2%

W. Jordan Gillis

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.