The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

5 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

29 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 19, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Adam Telle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 71.0%

Adam Telle

Open Polymarket ↗

Bill Hagerty

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 9.9%

Bill Hagerty

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Brent Ingraham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Brent Ingraham

Open Polymarket ↗

Brian Mast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Brian Mast

Open Polymarket ↗

Charles Young III

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.0%

Charles Young III

Open Polymarket ↗

Marc Andersen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 24.0%

Marc Andersen

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael Obadal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Michael Obadal

Open Polymarket ↗

Mike Waltz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.5%

Mike Waltz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

No other person

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 55.0%

No other person

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ric Grenell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0%

Ric Grenell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Robert O'Brien

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Robert O'Brien

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sean Parnell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Sean Parnell

Open Polymarket ↗

W. Jordan Gillis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 17.9%

W. Jordan Gillis

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.