Market comparison

Who will Donald Trump meet before 2027?

2 venues · 41 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

35 outcomes · $257K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

17 outcomes · $66K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will Donald Trump meet before 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Andy Burnham Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Andy Burnham · closed Open Kalshi ↗	2.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.5% Andy Burnham Open Polymarket ↗	96.0 pp
Benjamin Netanyahu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Benjamin Netanyahu · closed Open Kalshi ↗	3.9% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.7% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	95.2 pp
Elon Musk Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Elon Musk · closed Open Kalshi ↗	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 99.9% Elon Musk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Javier Milei Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Javier Milei · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.5% Javier Milei Open Polymarket ↗	98.0 pp
Kim Jong Un Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Kim Jong Un Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Kim Jong Un Open Polymarket ↗	17.8 pp
Mark Carney Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mark Carney · closed Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 3.4% · Ask 4.7% Mark Carney Open Polymarket ↗	95.0 pp
Mohammed bin Salman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	62.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 66.0% Mohammed bin Salman Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.3% Mohammed bin Salman Open Polymarket ↗	59.1 pp
Sam Altman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	97.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Sam Altman · closed Open Kalshi ↗	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Sam Altman Open Polymarket ↗	80.1 pp
Vladimir Putin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	80.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0% Vladimir Putin Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.9% Vladimir Putin Open Polymarket ↗	78.8 pp
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Polymarket ↗	97.5 pp
Xi Jinping Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.8% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Xi Jinping · closed Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6% Xi Jinping Open Polymarket ↗	98.9 pp
Abelardo de la Espriella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0% Abelardo de la Espriella Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ahmed al-Sharaa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 82.0% Ahmed al-Sharaa · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bill Clinton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8% Bill Clinton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bongbong Marcos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 88.0% Bongbong Marcos Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Claudia Sheinbaum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0% Claudia Sheinbaum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dario Amodei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Dario Amodei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gavin Newsom Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 20.0% Gavin Newsom Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Giorgia Meloni Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.8% Giorgia Meloni Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jensen Huang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Jensen Huang · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jerome Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 5.4% · Ask 11.0% Jerome Powell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joe Rogan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.9% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Joe Rogan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
José Antonio Kast Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% José Antonio Kast · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joseph Aoun Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.1% Joseph Aoun Open Polymarket ↗	—
Keir Starmer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid — · Ask 2.0% Keir Starmer Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kevin Warsh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kevin Warsh · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lai Ching-te Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Lai Ching-te Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Open Polymarket ↗	—
María Corina Machado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% María Corina Machado · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marjorie Taylor Greene Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Marjorie Taylor Greene Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mark Zuckerberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mark Zuckerberg · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Miguel Díaz-Canel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.4% Miguel Díaz-Canel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nasry Asfura Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nasry Asfura · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nayib Bukele Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Nayib Bukele · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.4% Nicolás Maduro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peter Thiel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 31.0% Peter Thiel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pope Leo XIV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.7% Pope Leo XIV Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 93.0% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Reza Pahlavi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.9% Reza Pahlavi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tim Walz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 7.0% Tim Walz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zohran Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zohran Mamdani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Andy Burnham

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Andy Burnham · closed

Who will Donald Trump meet before 2027?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andy Burnham

Kalshi

Polymarket

Benjamin Netanyahu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Elon Musk

Kalshi

Polymarket

Javier Milei

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kim Jong Un

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mark Carney

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mohammed bin Salman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Altman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Vladimir Putin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Xi Jinping

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abelardo de la Espriella

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bill Clinton

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bongbong Marcos

Kalshi

Polymarket

Claudia Sheinbaum

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dario Amodei

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gavin Newsom

Kalshi

Polymarket

Giorgia Meloni

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jensen Huang

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jerome Powell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joe Rogan

Kalshi

Polymarket

José Antonio Kast

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joseph Aoun

Kalshi

Polymarket

Keir Starmer

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kevin Warsh

Kalshi