The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will Ilia Topuria fight next?

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 17, 2027

19 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Arman Tsarukyan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 25.0%

Arman Tsarukyan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 81.0%

Arman Tsarukyan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Justin Gaethje

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Justin Gaethje

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 99.0%

Justin Gaethje

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 17.5 pp

Paddy Pimblett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

69.5%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 71.0%

Paddy Pimblett

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 59.0%

Paddy Pimblett

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Alexander Volkanovski

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0%

Alexander Volkanovski

Open Kalshi ↗

Beneil Dariush

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 99.0%

Beneil Dariush

Open Kalshi ↗

Benoit Saint Denis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 8.4%

Benoit Saint Denis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Benoit Saint Denis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Benoît Saint Denis

Open Kalshi ↗

Charles Oliveira

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 92.0%

Charles Oliveira

Open Kalshi ↗

Dan Hooker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Dan Hooker

Open Kalshi ↗

Diego Lopes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Diego Lopes

Open Kalshi ↗

Fighter B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Islam Makhachev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Islam Makhachev

Open Kalshi ↗

Mateusz Gamrot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Mateusz Gamrot

Open Kalshi ↗

Mauricio Ruffy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Mauricio Ruffy

Open Kalshi ↗

Max Holloway

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Max Holloway

Open Kalshi ↗

Movsar Evloev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Movsar Evloev

Open Kalshi ↗

Quillan Salkilld

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Quillan Salkilld

Open Kalshi ↗

Rafael Fiziev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Rafael Fiziev

Open Kalshi ↗

Renato Moicano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Renato Moicano

Open Kalshi ↗

Salahdine Parnasse

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Salahdine Parnasse

Open Kalshi ↗

Tom Nolan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0%

Tom Nolan

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.