Market comparison

Who will leave California before 2027?

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

8 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 23s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will leave California before 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Chamath Palihapitiya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Chamath Palihapitiya Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Sacks Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% David Sacks · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jensen Huang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.1% Jensen Huang Open Kalshi ↗	—
Larry Page Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Larry Page Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marc Andreessen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.8% Marc Andreessen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mark Zuckerberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 8.3% · Ask 10.0% Mark Zuckerberg Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmer Luckey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 2.3% · Ask 9.9% Palmer Luckey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Peter Thiel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 59.0% Peter Thiel Open Kalshi ↗	—

Chamath Palihapitiya

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

Chamath Palihapitiya

Open Kalshi ↗

David Sacks

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

David Sacks · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jensen Huang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.1%

Jensen Huang

Open Kalshi ↗

Larry Page

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Larry Page

Open Kalshi ↗

Marc Andreessen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.8%

Marc Andreessen

Open Kalshi ↗

Mark Zuckerberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 10.0%

Mark Zuckerberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Palmer Luckey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 9.9%

Palmer Luckey

Open Kalshi ↗

Peter Thiel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 59.0%

Peter Thiel

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets