Market comparison

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

2 venues · 47 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

25 outcomes · $285K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

23 outcomes · $138K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alan Campbell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 12.3% Alan Campbell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alex Norris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.1% Alex Norris Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angela Eagle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.2% Angela Eagle Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angela Rayner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.8% Angela Rayner Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angela Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.3% Angela Smith Open Polymarket ↗	—
Anneliese Midgley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% Anneliese Midgley Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bridget Phillipson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 14.3% Bridget Phillipson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brooke Rollins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Brooke Rollins Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Chris Bryant Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.1% Chris Bryant Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chris Wright Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Chris Wright Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Christopher Phelan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Christopher Phelan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Doug Burgum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Doug Burgum Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Doug Collins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Doug Collins Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Douglas Alexander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.2% Douglas Alexander Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ed Miliband Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.9% Ed Miliband Open Polymarket ↗	—
Heidi Alexander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.3% Heidi Alexander Open Polymarket ↗	—
Howard Lutnick Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Howard Lutnick Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jamieson Greer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jamieson Greer Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jay Clayton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jay Clayton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
John Healey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% John Healey Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Ratcliffe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% John Ratcliffe Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jonathan Reynolds Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 10.6% Jonathan Reynolds Open Polymarket ↗	—
Keith Sonderling Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Keith Sonderling Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kelly Loeffler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Kelly Loeffler Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lee Zeldin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Lee Zeldin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Linda McMahon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Linda McMahon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Lisa Nandy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.3% Lisa Nandy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Louise Haigh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.0% Louise Haigh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lucy Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.8% Lucy Powell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Markwayne Mullin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Markwayne Mullin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Miatta Fahnbulleh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.4% Miatta Fahnbulleh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Kratsios Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Michael Kratsios Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mike Waltz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Mike Waltz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pat McFadden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4% Pat McFadden Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0% Pete Hegseth Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Russell Vought Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Russell Vought Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Scott Bessent Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Scott Bessent Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Scott Turner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Scott Turner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sean Duffy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Sean Duffy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shabana Mahmood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.5% Shabana Mahmood Open Polymarket ↗	—
Stephen Kinnock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.3% Stephen Kinnock Open Polymarket ↗	—
Susie Wiles Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Susie Wiles Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Todd Blanche Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Todd Blanche Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wes Streeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Wes Streeting Open Polymarket ↗	—
Yvette Cooper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.2% Yvette Cooper Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alan Campbell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 12.3%

Alan Campbell

Open Polymarket ↗

Alex Norris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.1%

Alex Norris

Open Polymarket ↗

Angela Eagle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.2%

Angela Eagle

Open Polymarket ↗

Angela Rayner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.8%

Angela Rayner

Open Polymarket ↗

Angela Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.3%

Angela Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Anneliese Midgley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

Anneliese Midgley

Open Polymarket ↗

Bridget Phillipson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 14.3%

Bridget Phillipson

Open Polymarket ↗

Brooke Rollins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Brooke Rollins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Chris Bryant

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.1%

Chris Bryant

Open Polymarket ↗

Chris Wright

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chris Wright

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Christopher Phelan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Christopher Phelan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Doug Burgum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Doug Burgum

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Doug Collins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Doug Collins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Douglas Alexander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.2%

Douglas Alexander

Open Polymarket ↗

Ed Miliband

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.9%

Ed Miliband

Open Polymarket ↗

Heidi Alexander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.3%

Heidi Alexander

Open Polymarket ↗

Howard Lutnick

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Howard Lutnick

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jamieson Greer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jamieson Greer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jay Clayton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jay Clayton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

John Healey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

John Healey

Open Polymarket ↗

John Ratcliffe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

John Ratcliffe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jonathan Reynolds

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 10.6%

Jonathan Reynolds

Open Polymarket ↗

Keith Sonderling

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Keith Sonderling

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kelly Loeffler

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Kelly Loeffler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lee Zeldin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Lee Zeldin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Linda McMahon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Linda McMahon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Lisa Nandy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.3%

Lisa Nandy

Open Polymarket ↗

Louise Haigh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.0%

Louise Haigh

Open Polymarket ↗

Lucy Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.8%

Lucy Powell

Open Polymarket ↗

Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Markwayne Mullin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Markwayne Mullin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Miatta Fahnbulleh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.4%

Miatta Fahnbulleh

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael Kratsios

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Michael Kratsios

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mike Waltz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Mike Waltz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pat McFadden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.4%

Pat McFadden

Open Polymarket ↗

Pete Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Russell Vought

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Russell Vought

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Scott Bessent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Scott Bessent

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Scott Turner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Scott Turner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sean Duffy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Sean Duffy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shabana Mahmood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.5%

Shabana Mahmood

Open Polymarket ↗

Stephen Kinnock

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.3%

Stephen Kinnock

Open Polymarket ↗

Susie Wiles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Susie Wiles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Todd Blanche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Todd Blanche

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wes Streeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Wes Streeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Yvette Cooper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 9.2%

Yvette Cooper

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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