Market comparison

Who will release a new song this year?

2 venues · 122 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $148K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 2, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

120 outcomes · $58K reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 8, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Windows differ at the edges: Kalshi counts charts up to a named Billboard issue (e.g. week of Dec 26); Polymarket counts charts whose tracking period falls inside the calendar year. Features may count on Kalshi only.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will release a new song this year?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Beyoncé Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Beyoncé · closed Open Polymarket ↗	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 96.0% Beyoncé · closed Open Kalshi ↗	17.0 pp
BTS Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% BTS · closed Open Polymarket ↗	98.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% BTS · closed Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Charli XCX Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Charli XCX · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Charli xcx · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Drake Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Drake · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Drake · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Frank Ocean Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Frank Ocean Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0% Frank Ocean Open Kalshi ↗	7.5 pp
Kanye West Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kanye West · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 100.0% Kanye West · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Kendrick Lamar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kendrick Lamar · closed Open Polymarket ↗	45.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 45.0% Kendrick Lamar Open Kalshi ↗	55.0 pp
Lana Del Rey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Lana Del Rey · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lana Del Rey · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Lil Uzi Vert Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Lil Uzi Vert · closed Open Polymarket ↗	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lil Uzi Vert · closed Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Nicki Minaj Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	37.2% Bid 13.6% · Ask 60.8% Nicki Minaj Open Polymarket ↗	65.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 75.0% Nicki Minaj Open Kalshi ↗	27.8 pp
Olivia Rodrigo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Olivia Rodrigo · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Olivia Rodrigo · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
SZA Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% SZA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% SZA · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Taylor Swift Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Taylor Swift · closed Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Taylor Swift · closed Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
2 Chainz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% 2 Chainz · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
21 Savage Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 21 Savage · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
A$AP Rocky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% A$AP Rocky · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Addison Rae Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 100.0% Addison Rae Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alex Warren Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Alex Warren · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Anuel AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Anuel AA · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ariana Grande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ariana Grande · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bad Bunny Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Bad Bunny Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bebe Rexha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Bebe Rexha · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Benson Boone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 97.0% Benson Boone · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Big Sean Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Big Sean · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Billie Eilish Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Billie Eilish Open Kalshi ↗	—
BLACKPINK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% BLACKPINK · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bruno Mars Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Bruno Mars · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bryson Tiller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0% Bryson Tiller · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Calvin Harris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Calvin Harris · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Camilo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Camilo · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chappell Roan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Chappell Roan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Charlie Puth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Charlie Puth · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Childish Gambino Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 45.0% Childish Gambino · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chris Brown Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Chris Brown · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clairo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 83.0% Clairo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Coldplay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 67.0% Coldplay Open Kalshi ↗	—
Daft Punk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0% Daft Punk Open Kalshi ↗	—
Daniel Caesar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 95.0% Daniel Caesar · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Guetta Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 100.0% David Guetta · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Doechii Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0% Doechii · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Doja Cat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Doja Cat · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Don Toliver Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Don Toliver · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dua Lipa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% Dua Lipa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ed Sheeran Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.0% Ed Sheeran · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ella Langley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ella Langley · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Eminem Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 92.0% Eminem Open Kalshi ↗	—
EsDeeKid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% EsDeeKid · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fall Out Boy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 97.0% Fall Out Boy Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fred again.. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fred again.. · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Future Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Future · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Geese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 75.0% Geese Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gracie Abrams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Gracie Abrams · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grimes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Grimes · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Harry Styles Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Harry Styles · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ice Spice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ice Spice · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
J Balvin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% J Balvin · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
J. Cole Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% J. Cole · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jason Derulo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0% Jason Derulo · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
JAY-Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 44.0% JAY-Z Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
John Mayer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% John Mayer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joji Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Joji · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Justin Bieber Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 81.0% Justin Bieber Open Kalshi ↗	—
Justin Timberlake Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Justin Timberlake · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kali Uchis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kali Uchis · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
KAROL G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0% KAROL G · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
KATSEYE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% KATSEYE · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Khalid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Khalid · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kid Cudi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kid Cudi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kodak Black Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Kodak Black · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lady Gaga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 100.0% Lady Gaga · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Leon Thomas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 100.0% Leon Thomas · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lewis Capaldi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% Lewis Capaldi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lil Baby Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lil Baby · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lil Nas X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lil Nas X · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lil Wayne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lil Wayne · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lil Yachty Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lil Yachty · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Linkin Park Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0% Linkin Park Open Kalshi ↗	—
Logic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Logic · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lola Young Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Lola Young · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Luke Combs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Luke Combs · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mariah Carey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Mariah Carey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Maroon 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Maroon 5 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Megan Thee Stallion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0% Megan Thee Stallion · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
mgk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% mgk · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Migos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 26.0% Migos Open Kalshi ↗	—
NF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 71.0% NF Open Kalshi ↗	—
Offset Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 100.0% Offset · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Olivia Dean Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 67.0% Olivia Dean Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ozuna Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 100.0% Ozuna · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
PARTYNEXTDOOR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 96.0% PARTYNEXTDOOR Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pharrell Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pharrell Williams · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
PinkPantheress Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 97.0% PinkPantheress · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Polo G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 100.0% Polo G · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Post Malone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 98.0% Post Malone Open Kalshi ↗	—
Quavo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0% Quavo · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rauw Alejandro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Rauw Alejandro · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rihanna Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 35.0% Rihanna Open Kalshi ↗	—
Roddy Ricch Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Roddy Ricch · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
ROSALÍA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% ROSALÍA · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sabrina Carpenter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 100.0% Sabrina Carpenter · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sam Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 98.0% Sam Smith · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shaboozey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 100.0% Shaboozey · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shawn Mendes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 65.0% Shawn Mendes Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Sia · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
SIENNA SPIRO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 100.0% SIENNA SPIRO · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
sombr Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% sombr · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stray Kids Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 99.0% Stray Kids · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Swae Lee Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Swae Lee · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tate McRae Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Tate McRae · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Kid LAROI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% The Kid LAROI · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Marías Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% The Marías Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Weeknd Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 86.0% The Weeknd Open Kalshi ↗	—
Travis Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Travis Scott · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Trippie Redd Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 100.0% Trippie Redd · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tyga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 100.0% Tyga · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tyla Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Tyla · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tyler, The Creator Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Tyler, The Creator · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
USHER Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 100.0% USHER · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Young Thug Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Young Thug · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
YoungBoy Never Broke Again Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% YoungBoy Never Broke Again · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Zach Bryan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zach Bryan · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Zara Larsson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 97.0% Zara Larsson Open Kalshi ↗	—

Beyoncé

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Beyoncé · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 96.0%

Beyoncé · closed

Who will release a new song this year?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Beyoncé

Polymarket

Kalshi

BTS

Polymarket

Kalshi

Charli XCX

Polymarket

Kalshi

Drake

Polymarket

Kalshi

Frank Ocean

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kanye West

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kendrick Lamar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lana Del Rey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lil Uzi Vert

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nicki Minaj

Polymarket

Kalshi

Olivia Rodrigo

Polymarket

Kalshi

SZA

Polymarket

Kalshi

Taylor Swift

Polymarket

Kalshi

2 Chainz

Polymarket

Kalshi

21 Savage

Polymarket

Kalshi

A$AP Rocky

Polymarket

Kalshi

Addison Rae

Polymarket

Kalshi

Alex Warren

Polymarket

Kalshi

Anuel AA

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ariana Grande

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bad Bunny

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bebe Rexha

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benson Boone

Polymarket

Kalshi

Big Sean

Polymarket

Kalshi

Billie Eilish

Polymarket

Kalshi

BLACKPINK